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How did the aircraft through the crisis?

Experts cabinet Alixpartner highlight the "resilience" rather remarkable aerospace facing a crisis which has "devastated most industries, in the words of Eric Bernardini, Associate Director. After three years of strong growth (+15 to +17%), the slowdown has been severe but the activity remained positive with an increase of 2% in the world. This, in an environment where credit was becoming scarce and expensive.

This resilience reflects the fact that the aviation industry is a long cycle that "smooth" dips and rebounds of activity.When the crisis broke out, the order books are well filled – they are between 6 and 7 years of work with Airbus and Boeing, for example – the U.S. defense budget remains high at over 600 billion dollars and companies will react quickly launching plans for reorganization to optimize their cost base. But the overall increase in activity concealed differences: the regional airline and business aviation have suffered more from the crisis in commercial aviation (aircraft above 110 seats).

What about 2010?

"Do not expect to find pre-crisis levels," warns Eric Bernardini. The first quarter of the year was marked by a 9% drop in shipments compared to the same period of 2009 with 261 aircraft confondues.Cela all categories, while new orders taken are not strong after the fall of 70% of last year.

Several negative factors do not advocate a resumption free. First, the defense budget at best stagnant in the West with a likely decline in the U.S. and cuts already adopted in France, Germany and Great Britain. This marks a break with the period 1999-2009. In ten years, this budget has increased by 167% in the USA, 104% in France, but 181% in Saudi Arabia, Russia 272% and 294% in China. "But in real terms, the EU budget has stagnated, it has instead increased in the rest of the world," the study said.

Then, weak clients in commercial aviation. "With 0.5% margin forecast by 2010, the airline business model is not profitable in the long term," said Thierry Down, Alixpartner partner in the firm.Majors are also increasingly threatened by the rise of new players from the Asia-Pacific region and Middle East policies that lead to acquisitions of new equipment and aggressive pricing as well as the installation in the landscape of low cost.

And in the longer term?

The aviation industry is expected, according Alixpartner remain a growth industry. Thanks to the strength of emerging markets in Asia Pacific and Middle East in the years to come. The study of new aircraft deliveries projected to increase 15% per year by 2028, three times faster than air traffic.

The contract will be subject to strong pressure on prices with the arrival of new competitors in particular on the lucrative segment of the short and medium haul routes.The C-Series from Canada's Bombardier and Mitsubishi MRJ Japanese between 2013 and 2015 and the C-919 Chinese Comac to 2017 (and perhaps also a future large-derived Embraer E-190) will break the duopoly of Airbus Boeing and their A 320 and B 737. The arrival of his new players posed with even more accuité the issue of repowering existing Airbus and Boeing or the launch of new devices.

The pressure on prices will be high on the international defense market, U.S. groups seek growth from outside their borders. And taking probably the way of acquisitions.

What lessons did from the crisis?

Aerospace has been facing the worst crisis of his violent history at a time when she changed her business model.Boeing led the way, followed by Airbus, opting for the outsourcing of whole aircraft to major partners who share the financial risk and industry (risk-sharing partners). The model is not fixed so far, but already he designed a new deal between manufacturers and suppliers of rank 1. "It is evolving towards a model where not only the charges and development will be shared but also the earnings. Some vendors provide penalties for delay if the programs of manufacturers are backlogged. This can be a risky gamble for the supplier but overall, the balance of power balances gradually ", explains Thierry down.

Result: 8.6% in 2009, the profitability of major equipment has become for the first time higher than that of manufacturers that spring to 6.2%.Overall, manufacturers have been penalized by delays in recovery of their new programs (B 787, A 380 and A 400M), which has cost them billions of euros and has weighed on their accounts. Mais ces chiffres globaux cachent à nouveau de grandes disparités et mettent en lumière la faiblesse des acteurs européens par rapports aux géants américains. "In our study, few major European suppliers are well placed. the winners are those who realize a significant part of their business in the United States as the British Cobham, "said Eric Bernardini. The French equipment already handicapped by a structure of costs in euros on a market where the reference currency is the dollar, are particularly poorly placed with margin levels that are almost the double.

It is therefore urgent to organize and optimize its cost structure.Some have understood like a Zodiac, which has returned to acquisitions and has balanced its business conducted in dollars and one conducted in euro. French SMEs are particularly vulnerable because they are too small and no financial base. "Some have understood that they must join forces and others not," note the experts at AlixPartners. In Aerostructures (elements that when assembled form the fuselage of the plane) there is urgency with four players in France (15 in Europe) against the giant American Spirit and subsidiaries of major Japanese companies Mitsubishi and Kawasaki.

Mergers and acquisitions will they return?

Yes, says the study. Especially since they have not stopped but simply slowed during the crisis operations from 238 to 156 between 2008 and 2009. In the first quarter of 2010, we are 51.The Americans who were most active on this front between 2005 and 2009 with 484 operations should continue to play outposts. If Europeans have been rather discreet in number of transactions in the period with the notable exception of Thales, they have been very active if we take the size criteria for acquisitions. Leader in this category, Italy's Finmeccanica. But in none of the categories cited by the study is EADS, the European giant who nevertheless want to ensure complete acquisitions in order to realign its business in the defense and security.

The Aerostructures segment very crumbled, electrical systems and maintenance and repair should experience the largest wave of consolidation, particularly in Europe. In total, the five main players in these three activities controlled only 40%, 40% and 27% market share.

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As with fast payday loans, this recently used to be the case, but competitive lenders and higher demand has taken this loan type to mainstay levels.

European markets reorient downward on Thursday after two sessions of net withdrawal, which followed up to nine sessions in a row.

ACC 40, which closed late Wednesday a decline of 1.71%, to 3641 points, however, had started sitting up. He quickly plunged and yields 0.96% mid-term point to 3606.9.

The euro shows a decline of 0.28% at the same time and now rated as 1.23, to 1.2277 exactly. The European currency declines amid persistent fears about the state of the economy of the Old Continent.

In an interview with Italian newspaper La Repubblica, Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, said it was unlikely that deflation risks materialize in the euro area.

Employment on the radar screen

Supported by purchases of televisions before the World Cup soccer, the French household consumption of manufactured goods rose 0.7% in May after a drop the previous month, Insee said Thursday. Better than expected.

Job center will provide 18 hours tonight the numbers of jobseekers registered.

In the Eurozone industrial orders in April showed the strongest gain in 10 years: +0.9% over March and 22.1% compared to April 2009. This last figure is the highest since May 2000, according to statistics released Thursday by Eurostat.

In the U.S., at 14.30, the figures on durable goods orders in May are highly regarded, as usual. As the traditional weekly claims for unemployment benefits (same time).

Areva accrues $ 400 million more

The Group accrues 400 million euros more because of the further delay of the EPR. These delays have already cost the group 2.3 billion euros nuclear. And this new supply will cause the accounts into the red in the first half.

Vinci: -0.59% to 37.26 euros The company has signed an agreement for a proposed road tunnel in Vietnam, worth an estimated $ 600 million.

Publicis: -0.34% to 34.74 euros Interpublic does not need to merge with Publicis, according to its CEO, Michael Roth.The fourth group in terms of global advertising revenues has been speculation about a possible merger with French group.

L'Oreal: -1.81% to 81.82 euros, L'Oréal held yesterday, a presentation on New Markets, on their growth potential, based on affordable innovations, development of new product categories and the acceleration of globalization. Natixis Securities appreciated and raised price target on the value of 92-97 euros.

Societe Generale: -2.93% to 35.74 euros, the bank claimed Kerviel to 4.9 billion. This sum is claimed as damages, the commitments of the former alleged fraudulent trader.

Banking sector is doing well this Thursday after being bottom of the list of the CAC 40 over the past two sessions.The President of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet said in an interview published Thursday that the reform of financial regulation are on track and that a number of important decisions will be taken in November, during G20.

Axa: + 0.07% to 13.55 Resolution eurosL'assureur UK announced Thursday the acquisition of its French rival Axa Life insurance, savings and pensions in the United Kingdom for up to 2.75 billion pounds (3.3 billion euros).

Vivendi: + 0.06% to 17.45 euros without, however, that the word "relax" is heard, the prosecution had asked for any penalty against former executives of Vivendi Universal. From the first day of the hearing, Jean-Marie Messier, former chief executive, expressed a mea culpa about its "excessive communication."

Casino: + 0.33% to 63.75 euros latest episode in the war of Nespresso.Nestle has obtained the high court in Paris to send bailiffs in Folliet and Vegeplast, the two suppliers to the manufacturer Casino pods compatible with Nespresso machines.

Air France-KLM: -2.73% to 10.87 euros 4,390 people have left the company without being licensed, by March 2013, according to an internal document quoted by La Tribune, on its website.

Company Alps: -4.28% to 23.02 euros Compagnie des Alpes announced Thursday the launch of a capital increase of around 100 million euros, with retention of preferential subscription.

The leisure group has also announced a refinancing of its debt in advance through long-term, secure the liquidity of the group for five years.He said in a position to make acquisitions.

TF1: -2.24% to 11.54 eurosL'élimination the first round of the France squad will deprive TF1 more than ten million euros in revenue. But the title TF1 has underperformed by 3.6% of all broadcasters in Europe since the beginning of the World Cup. This correction related to the elimination of the France team is disproportionate to the financial magnitudes of the event, said an analyst.

Oil drop

Crude prices have continued to drop Thursday (76.2 dollars) in electronic trading in Asia, driven by anxiety about U.S. demand, world's largest consumer.

The latest indicators of the U.S. Department of Energy showing an increase of two million barrels in crude stocks in the week concluded on June 18 have caused concern to investors, which projected a decline of one million barrels.The increase in crude inventories reported in effect a weakening demand.

The euro rose again on Monday morning against the dollar. It rated 10 hours to 1.2430 dollars, after touching 1.2460, an increase of 4.6% since it started bouncing on June 7 last, when the exchange rate euro / dollar rate was 1.19. A fast pace for the foreign exchange market.

China, usually accused by Western countries to maintain the exchange rate of its currency artificially low, just a surprise. A week before the G20 summit, the Chinese central bank announced the end of two years of indexing the yuan to the dollar. The aim is to gradually revalue its currency in order to regulate the Chinese economy, which is based on thirty years export.

To believe in technical analysis, "a great potential rebound comes." The first significant resistance (level on which the exchange rate risk of stumbling) is 1.27.Above, the parity would take the lead of 1.33. The trend is now positive short-term above 1.19.

Why such an increase?

The reason for this rebound is mainly technical: the euro has fallen too quickly in recent weeks, the currency had to breathe. Indeed, on 1 January, the euro was trading at $ 1.44, and in December 2009, it was worth even $ 1.51. In other words, between the highest and the lowest point reached in early June to 1.19, the euro has fallen more than 21%!

Other mechanical reason of the rise of the euro: the decline of the dollar which causes the exchange rate euro / dollar rising payday loan. But the greenback fell amid indices acclaimed. "Historically, there has always been an inverse relationship between the U.S. equity market and the greenback," said the chief executive of Saxo Bank, Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier.

And since the announcement of China, which paves the way for a separation of the link between the yuan and the dollar, the yuan prances its highest levels since July 2005. The renminbi, another name for the Chinese currency, reported a record on the interbank market at 6.8089 against the dollar. Faced with the rise of the yuan, the dollar fell back automatically.

The trend remains bearish background

In the medium term, despite five times the highest drop since last December, the trend is still fragile.Even if the single currency does not seem too responsive to European concerns on the health of public finances of countries – including Spain rumors, denied – the macroeconomic situation on the continent remains sluggish, between sluggish growth and unemployment Box, accompanied by rigid budgetary policies.

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Bad news for the U.S. aircraft manufacturer Boeing. The rival Airbus has struggled to meet with some of these sub-contractors, according to online edition of the Wall Street Jounal. These problems would delay delivery of that piece of the fuselage of its future long-haul B787 Dreamliner to their place of assembly in Seattle.

These delays fall to worse for the manufacturer seeking to accelerate production of its new aircraft to make up for two years behind its original schedule. The inaugural flight – postponed six times – took place last December 22.

Customers get impatient

Launched in 2004, the program has suffered numerous delays attributed to the complexity of the business. Boeing, the first American exporter, technology showcase and trade United States, wanted to reinvent the way to build a civilian aircraft.He selected composite materials to make the unit lighter. With also new engines, the B787 is expected to be nearly 20% more fuel efficient than the previous generation aircraft.

And during that time, customers get impatient. The Japanese airline ANA must be the first to receive a copy, is normally made by the end of this year. At the inaugural flight last December, many observers felt already this calendar too Ambitious for an aircraft as innovative.

The conflict seems to be hardening in Macon, where two officers of the Essex plant have been detained on Wednesday night. The European management of the company, a subsidiary of American Superior Essex, on Friday before the High Court of Macon, hoping to secure the evacuation of the site by force.

The 80 employees of the manufacturing of copper wire, whose closure was announced in late March, dispute the amount considered "deficient" in their social redundancy. In particular, they require a tripling of the amount of the premium extra-legally granted to each employee, to 120,000 euros each instead of the 30,000 proposed by management.

"No mediation of the state under threat"

While the hope of ending the crisis seemed to prevail among employees Friday morning, the tension is suddenly rise a notch after a mediation meeting with the director of the labor and employment cash advance america. The employees were entrenched inside the plant, shutting the gate using metal buckets. The group's decision to take legal action did not come a relaxed atmosphere.

The Industry Minister Christian Estrosi said he was "deeply shocked by the behavior of a small minority of employees, reaffirming that no mediation of the state in this case was possible under threat.A statement that the employees were immediately countered that it was "more ready to condemn employees and their representatives to address the issue of concern which have been seized since November 2009."

The court is expected to decide Friday afternoon on the outcome of the appeal filed by the direction of Essex.

At the close Tuesday night, the CAC 40 gained 0.49% to 4053, 94 points, a record for a year and a half. While on Wall Street investors were taking a break, despite the confirmation of the retention by the Fed to lower interest rates (between 0% and 0.25%, and has been d?bembre 2008).

On Wednesday morning, Asian stock markets are moving in the positive. This early morning, the Bank of Japan also announced that it retained its interest rates to 0.1%. The World Bank, East Asian development is driving the global economic recovery, but these countries need reform to enjoy sustained growth.The institution expects an increase of 8.7% of GDP in the area in 2010.

Around 8:15 am, the CAC index futures expire in April 2010 predict an opening near balance (-0.01%).

Rich economic news

Side Europe, INSEE and ISAE Ifo and its equivalents, will unveil their outlook for the second quarter of the year. At 11 hours, the GDP of the eurozone in the fourth quarter of 2009 (third estimate). At the same time, will be published the second estimate of the composite PMI services for the month of March, and prices for industrial production.

In the U.S., weekly stocks of crude oil will be reviewed by financial operators. Oil is quite stable in anticipation of these figures, but quickly approached $ 87 in recent days. Investors anticipate a rise in global demand.The Qatari Minister of Energy Abdullah al-Attiyah said Tuesday that it was not necessary to bring OPEC to discuss soaring prices at the highest in a year and a half No credit check payday loans.

At 19:30, the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, will speak on "Economic Challenges past, present and future. A speech certainly scrutinized closely in the wake of its decision on rates. Any change of address would be taken seriously.

Finally, at 21 hours, the figures on consumer credit in the U.S. in February.

Using concrete for Renault and Daimler

The Franco-Japanese alliance Renault-Nissan and Daimler, the German manufacturer Mercedes and Smart have announced equity cross-holdings of 3.1%, and a broad industrial partnership.The Renault shares surged 3.86% to 36.87 euros at the close yesterday.

Carrefour prepares to leave Portugal, reports Le Figaro. The retailer will start selling the 524 hard discount stores it operates in this country under the banner Minipre?o. Their turnover has reached 915 million euros in 2009.

Rentabiliweb Specialist monetization of online and offline audiences, today announced it won a bidding group France Televisions in order to monetize the sites hearings France Televisions Interactive.

Deinove today launches his bid for the purchase of shares. Offer clot April 20 and the first titles will be on the Paris stock exchange – Alternext – from April 21. The "greentech" hopes to raise from 12 to 15 million euros in the financial markets to fund its research.

Maurel and Prom will publish its annual results after-hours trade.

After limited Wednesday its losses due to degradation of the note of Portugal by U.S. rating agency Fitch, the CAC 40 should be cautious. Thursday and Friday, will take effect in the European Council in Brussels. Support measures to Greece are expected, involving the IMF and covering several tens of billions of euros.

The program also published a series of U.S. data – weeks claimed Thursday to 13 hours, and a third estimate of GDP for the fourth quarter of 2009 Friday at 13.30 – and the presentation from 9 hours by Jean-Claude Trichet's annual report the European Central Bank before the European Parliament.

As for values, the series of publications is nearing completion. Thursday Hermes presents its annual results for 2009.

Bank stocks are also monitored on the sidelines of the Brussels European Council.

The Italian A2A accelerates the process of selling its stake in Edison to EDF, a transaction that would allow the French group to take control of Italy's number two electricity, it was learned from sources close to the matter.

Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Spain are planning to protest together with the U.S. President Barack Obama against the forced removal of EADS bidding for tanker aircraft for the U.S. Air Force says Thursday newspaper Les Echos.

TF1 got the green light by the High Council of Audiovisual (CSA) to buy chains and TMC NT1 group but AB's subsidiary Bouygues will make certain commitments.

KKR announced Wednesday the sale of a stake of 4.4% in Legrand through a process of "book building" accelerated.It will own 20.6% of the capital and 27.5% of the voting rights of French group at the end of the assignment. Wendel for his part said not to join the operation and maintain its 24.9% stake in Legrand.

Camaieu announced Wednesday results in net decrease in 2009 but said he observed an improvement trend in the last semester.

Veolia said in a statement that the new boss of EDF, Henri Proglio, leaving the presidency of the board of directors. His replacement has yet not been identified.

Against "unfair and ineffective sacrifices, Greek officials Wednesday manifested in big cities. A 24-hour strike was launched by the Union Public Service ADEDY, with more than 300,000 members. Employees of public protest against wage cuts announced by the Socialist government to reduce deficits and thus reassure the markets.

Tuesday, Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou reiterated wage austerity measures provided for in the Public Service wage freeze, down 10% premium, 30% decrease in overtime, stoppage of recruitment in 2010, except in the sectors of health, education and security. Labor Minister, Andreas Loverdos, proposed back two years to 2015 the average age of retirement to raise it to 63 years.

In Athens, about 5,000 union members protesting in the rain in the streets, which must be added the separate gathering of 5,000 activists of the union Struggle Front (PAME), an offshoot of the ultra-orthodox communist party (KKE). In Salonika, is counting down nearly 3,000 officers pounding the pavement.

Moreover, tens of thousands of officials have answered the call to strike the ADEDY. Air traffic controllers joined the strike and there was no traffic Wednesday in Greece.

Meeting of Finance Ministers of the euro area

These events occur when the finance ministers of the eurozone plan to meet as Wednesday by teleconference to discuss the situation in Greece, several diplomatic sources.In view of this meeting, Nicolas Sarkozy held talks by telephone with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and EU President Herman Van Rompoy.

According to Le Monde, President of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet and the chairman of the Eurogroup forum of finance ministers from the eurozone, Jean-Claude Juncker, will join the discussions.

This meeting will be held on the eve of a summit of EU leaders on the issue in Brussels saving account payday loan . At this stage, there is "not agree" on a plan of aid to Greece. The signs, however, a support mechanism for this country is growing. A senior parliamentary Conservative German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Michael Meister, has indicated that preparations were underway in the German Government for an assistance plan.It could take the form of housing provision of bilateral loans to certain countries of the euro area in favor of Greece, to help cope with higher prices for its cost of borrowing on the markets since the beginning of the crisis. The option of an advance payment of EU subsidies to Greece is also considered.

Papandreou lunch with Nicolas Sarkozy

Prime Minister George Papandreou, who visited on Wednesday in Paris where he had lunch with French President Nicolas Sarkozy has reaffirmed his determination.He promised Wednesday to "take all necessary measures" to reduce the deficit and ensured that "each of the measures of the austerity program will be applied.

The Prime Minister had called in an attempt to limit the impact of the strike, officials to "lead by example" to help end the crisis.

Furthermore, President Nicolas Sarkozy and Chancellor Angela Merkel Thursday held a joint press conference after the informal EU summit in Brussels, including the situation in Greece, said Wednesday the spokesman for the French government, Luc Chatel. "Under the EU summit, the president will have the opportunity to hold a joint press conference with Merkel on various subjects.I guess the question (of the situation in Greece) will be addressed, "said Luc Chatel in reporting to the press the work of the council of ministers.

"The French government is involved as its European partners on the situation of the euro and the situation in Greece in particular," he said, adding that the Economy Minister Christine Lagarde had "routine contacts with counterparts "on this issue.

A territorial policy of social housing, that is to say building in priority areas in deficit, such is the ambition on Wednesday by Secretary of State for Housing. Two days after the publication of an alarming report of the Fondation Abb? Pierre on poor housing, Benoist Appearing presented the draft state for 2010, namely to contribute up to 4.7 billion euros to finance 140,000 housing, half in Ile-de-France, Rh?ne-Alpes and Provence-Alpes-C?te d'Azur, the zones "tense". The program is ambitious, even by the balance of 2009 when 120,000 housing units were built "three times more than in 2000, the ministry said.

4 billion tax form

But if the Social Union for Housing which manages public housing can not approve a policy that it "calls for two years, is on the question of financing the rub.The state budget provides for the payment of 624 million euros to public housing agencies as aid to the stone. The rest of the state aid-more than 4 billion-will take the form of tax incentives (VAT, property tax, preferential interest rates). "The $ 624 million is less than 660 million euros achieved in 2009, and far from the 800 million budgeted in 2008," laments Pierre Quercy, general delegate of the Social Union for Housing which manages public housing bad credit payday loans . "We're going to build a priority in areas of shortage, and therefore more expensive, but with less money," says the delegate general who believes a more realistic assessment of the number of homes built to last 100,000.

At the Department, any accusation of declining level of aid is denied."The effort of the State is not limited to 624 million euros of aid to the stone, take into account the full support of 4.7 billion euros, which will build 140,000 homes social, said the firm Benoist Appeared. Construction or purchase. As announced Tuesday the secretary of state, public housing agencies will be able to acquire any vacant units to turn them into housing. Another idea supported by the Social Union for Housing, but according to Pierre Quercy will face the same problems of funding. "We estimate that 350 million euros of state aid would be needed to buy 10,000 housing units in the tense areas," said the delegate general. What largely begin the budget.

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Euro Disney reported Thursday its results in its financial year end of September. The net loss after minority interests of Euro Disney appears to 55.5 million euros against a loss of 2.8 million a year ago. Revenues fell 7% to 1.23 billion. Despite a record attendance of 15.4 million people (against 15.3 million a year earlier) through new promotions, visitor expenditures were lower because of the crisis. Thus, the rate of hotel occupancy fell amounting to 87%, which has affected sales. In the statement, Philippe Gas, chairman of Euro Disney, said that the exercise "has been marked by the economic environment more difficult in our history."

Report of several payments

Under the exercise, the group has not met its predetermined performance goals.He has deferred some debt payments subject to long term as the 25 million of license fees due to TWDC and the 15.1 million euros of interest due to the Deposit and Consignment. It also plans to defer the payment of an additional $ 5.1 million of interest due to the CDC during the first quarter of fiscal 2010.

The operators do not like. The title plunges 10.17% at 5.30 euros to 10.10 am. They fear that the company does not have sufficient cash to repay its debts.