Apr 29 2012
Spain hard hit by unemployment
These are the first quarterly figures for Mariano Rajoy, and they mark new records. 24.44% of the Spanish working population is unemployed, according to the survey of the National Statistics Institute (INE), the most comprehensive report on the subject. To find such a high percentage, we must go back to 1994. As for the number of unemployed, 5,639,500, it is unprecedented.
The detailed figures are even more dramatic. Youth unemployment has surpassed the psychological half: 52.01% of those under age 25 seeking employment. More than 1, 7 million households survive without one family member has a job. A disturbing figure, in a country where family solidarity is one of the few buoys that are still resisting the crisis.
Degradation of S & P
The increase in the unemployment rate from 22.85 to 24.44% coincides with the entry into force on 12 February, the reform of labor law prepared by the Conservative government. A set of measures that flexibilisent working conditions facilitating dismissals on behalf of … the fight against unemployment.
The deteriorating labor market could lead to further abuses. "Having one in four unemployed will increase our deficit and debt," warns Alberto Pastor, professor of economics at IESE Business School. And conversely, "the achievement of deficit targets necessarily require additional austerity measures likely to deepen the recession and therefore further deteriorate the labor market," says Jesús Castillo, Natixis. A downward spiral.
Standard & Poor's, meanwhile, did not wait for the unemployment figures to punish Spain. By Thursday evening, the agency lowered its rating two notches, from A to BBB +. A decision justified by three reasons: the economic downturn, the difficulties in reducing deficits and fears about the fragility of Spanish banks.
For despite a process of concentration and recapitalization, financial sector remains a concern. Most Spanish economists exclude the possibility of a global rescue plan. They did not rule on the other hand a refinance outside banks. "Some will be forced to appeal to European funds," and believes Santiago Nino Becerra know, professor of economics at the Ramon Llull University in Barcelona.
On Wednesday, the Minister of Economy, Luis de Guindos, admitted that Spain was "perhaps one of the hardest moments for its economy." The government does provide an out of recession next year, a return to growth in 2014 and the balance of public accounts in 2016.
The Italian Treasury has borrowed this Friday 5.95 billion euros in the medium and long term testing at an auction. The operation went well. Borrowing costs are still rising at 5.84% to 4.86% and ten years to five years, but the offer has been fully covered. "The numbers are correct. At least, there is no bad news, "said Michael Leister, rate strategist for DZ Bank. Borrowing costs in Italy have averaged 5.61% since the beginning of the year.
Secondary market, the yield spread between ten-year Italian paper and paper German reference widened by only one point e basis, to 4.08%.
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