Experts cabinet Alixpartner highlight the "resilience" rather remarkable aerospace facing a crisis which has "devastated most industries, in the words of Eric Bernardini, Associate Director. After three years of strong growth (+15 to +17%), the slowdown has been severe but the activity remained positive with an increase of 2% in the world. This, in an environment where credit was becoming scarce and expensive.

This resilience reflects the fact that the aviation industry is a long cycle that "smooth" dips and rebounds of activity.When the crisis broke out, the order books are well filled – they are between 6 and 7 years of work with Airbus and Boeing, for example – the U.S. defense budget remains high at over 600 billion dollars and companies will react quickly launching plans for reorganization to optimize their cost base. But the overall increase in activity concealed differences: the regional airline and business aviation have suffered more from the crisis in commercial aviation (aircraft above 110 seats).

What about 2010?

"Do not expect to find pre-crisis levels," warns Eric Bernardini. The first quarter of the year was marked by a 9% drop in shipments compared to the same period of 2009 with 261 aircraft confondues.Cela all categories, while new orders taken are not strong after the fall of 70% of last year.

Several negative factors do not advocate a resumption free. First, the defense budget at best stagnant in the West with a likely decline in the U.S. and cuts already adopted in France, Germany and Great Britain. This marks a break with the period 1999-2009. In ten years, this budget has increased by 167% in the USA, 104% in France, but 181% in Saudi Arabia, Russia 272% and 294% in China. "But in real terms, the EU budget has stagnated, it has instead increased in the rest of the world," the study said.

Then, weak clients in commercial aviation. "With 0.5% margin forecast by 2010, the airline business model is not profitable in the long term," said Thierry Down, Alixpartner partner in the firm.Majors are also increasingly threatened by the rise of new players from the Asia-Pacific region and Middle East policies that lead to acquisitions of new equipment and aggressive pricing as well as the installation in the landscape of low cost.

And in the longer term?

The aviation industry is expected, according Alixpartner remain a growth industry. Thanks to the strength of emerging markets in Asia Pacific and Middle East in the years to come. The study of new aircraft deliveries projected to increase 15% per year by 2028, three times faster than air traffic.

The contract will be subject to strong pressure on prices with the arrival of new competitors in particular on the lucrative segment of the short and medium haul routes.The C-Series from Canada's Bombardier and Mitsubishi MRJ Japanese between 2013 and 2015 and the C-919 Chinese Comac to 2017 (and perhaps also a future large-derived Embraer E-190) will break the duopoly of Airbus Boeing and their A 320 and B 737. The arrival of his new players posed with even more accuité the issue of repowering existing Airbus and Boeing or the launch of new devices.

The pressure on prices will be high on the international defense market, U.S. groups seek growth from outside their borders. And taking probably the way of acquisitions.

What lessons did from the crisis?

Aerospace has been facing the worst crisis of his violent history at a time when she changed her business model.Boeing led the way, followed by Airbus, opting for the outsourcing of whole aircraft to major partners who share the financial risk and industry (risk-sharing partners). The model is not fixed so far, but already he designed a new deal between manufacturers and suppliers of rank 1. "It is evolving towards a model where not only the charges and development will be shared but also the earnings. Some vendors provide penalties for delay if the programs of manufacturers are backlogged. This can be a risky gamble for the supplier but overall, the balance of power balances gradually ", explains Thierry down.

Result: 8.6% in 2009, the profitability of major equipment has become for the first time higher than that of manufacturers that spring to 6.2%.Overall, manufacturers have been penalized by delays in recovery of their new programs (B 787, A 380 and A 400M), which has cost them billions of euros and has weighed on their accounts. Mais ces chiffres globaux cachent à nouveau de grandes disparités et mettent en lumière la faiblesse des acteurs européens par rapports aux géants américains. "In our study, few major European suppliers are well placed. the winners are those who realize a significant part of their business in the United States as the British Cobham, "said Eric Bernardini. The French equipment already handicapped by a structure of costs in euros on a market where the reference currency is the dollar, are particularly poorly placed with margin levels that are almost the double.

It is therefore urgent to organize and optimize its cost structure.Some have understood like a Zodiac, which has returned to acquisitions and has balanced its business conducted in dollars and one conducted in euro. French SMEs are particularly vulnerable because they are too small and no financial base. "Some have understood that they must join forces and others not," note the experts at AlixPartners. In Aerostructures (elements that when assembled form the fuselage of the plane) there is urgency with four players in France (15 in Europe) against the giant American Spirit and subsidiaries of major Japanese companies Mitsubishi and Kawasaki.

Mergers and acquisitions will they return?

Yes, says the study. Especially since they have not stopped but simply slowed during the crisis operations from 238 to 156 between 2008 and 2009. In the first quarter of 2010, we are 51.The Americans who were most active on this front between 2005 and 2009 with 484 operations should continue to play outposts. If Europeans have been rather discreet in number of transactions in the period with the notable exception of Thales, they have been very active if we take the size criteria for acquisitions. Leader in this category, Italy's Finmeccanica. But in none of the categories cited by the study is EADS, the European giant who nevertheless want to ensure complete acquisitions in order to realign its business in the defense and security.

The Aerostructures segment very crumbled, electrical systems and maintenance and repair should experience the largest wave of consolidation, particularly in Europe. In total, the five main players in these three activities controlled only 40%, 40% and 27% market share.

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While places of Sidney, Shanghai and the Philippines were closed Monday due to holidays, the Nikkei in Tokyo gained approximately 1.6% to 9861 points in less than an hour of closing pushed particularly by Honda s make the award more than 3%.The group would reach an agreement with its Chinese supplier, enabling the Japanese automaker to resume normal work on Monday after a week of strike.

On the other cities in the region, the benchmark Hang Seng Stock Exchange of Hong Kong reverts to the threshold of 20,000 points to 20,047 points (0.88%). Elsewhere, the Seoul Stock Exchange gained 0.9% while in Bombay, the index yielded 0.8%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro continues to strengthen. He traded this morning at 1.2183 dollars against 1.2077 dollars on Friday in New York. Against the yen, the euro also asserts upward to 111.91 yen against 110.65 Friday.

The strengthening of the euro leads to crude prices upward.In morning trade in Asia, a barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery gained a little over 80 cents to 74.59 dollars while Brent North Sea, with identical maturity, took 54 cents to 74 , $ 89.

Considered the nugget of all seven regional banks from HSBC France sold to the Banque Populaire Group in July 2008 – SMC was valued 1.1 billion euros over the 2.1 billion that the transaction cost – it should join the network of Crédit du Nord, a 100% subsidiary of Societe Generale, which already includes seven regional banks, the newspaper said without citing its sources.

The recovery of the MSC requested Rothschild neared 650 million, adds the site of La Tribune, reporting that it was 1.1 billion euros at the time of its acquisition.

Meanwhile, SMC, maintained by Live Banques Populaires, had been transferred to 880 million euros to all BPCE at its incorporation in August 2009, said the Tribune.

This remarkable evolution follows the statement released Wednesday by Valeo, in which the group calls itself "confident" in achieving its goal of doubling its operating margin compared to 2009, notified on 24 February. The group is therefore an operating margin of almost 4% of its turnover in 2009 against 1.8% and 2.7% in 2008.Just in the first half, Valeo anticipates an operating margin approaching 6%, the highest rate on a semester during the last eight years.

Nomura to buy rest

The supplier table, moreover, still for the first half of 2010, on a turnover of around 4.7 billion euros, an increase of about 35% compared to the first half of 2009. Consensus Thomson Reuters, meanwhile, put on a turnover of 8.2 billion euros for the group in 2010 with an operating profit of 301 million, which would result in a margin of 3.67%.

This perspective reinforces the analysts at Nomura, in their recommendation to purchase the title. They said the current valuation of Valeo offers significant upside potential and thus provides a good buying opportunity. Nomura sets the price target to 35 euros.

Cinven announced last March 31 a proposed takeover bid at 70 euros per share, valuing the company at 536 million euros. The offer is considered "very generous" by analysts at Natixis, given in particular the good results of Sperian first quarter of 2010 (the organic revenue was up 16%) and developments in the euro dollar-positive group.

The bid has been received Cinven Favoral by the two shareholders of Sperian, Essilor and Dalloz, which together hold 28% stake Sperian easy payday loans. In contrast, the third shareholder, the fund Governance for Owners, which owns 10% stake, had expressed doubts about the offer price, equity and the "treatment of minority shareholders."

The names of two U.S. companies are cited

According to SocGen, a cons-offer could be made by U.S. companies like Honeywell and Kimberly-Clark have "a significant advantage in view of the euro / dollar." Societe Generale expects an offering price of between 80 and 101 euros.

The bank now recommends to "buy" the title Sperian, she previously advised to "keep".Societe Generale is one of over 90 euros on Sperian.

Meanwhile, the title Sperian continued to climb, showing the largest increase in the Paris Stock Exchange on Tuesday to 10.60%. Around 11:30 am, the share rose to 87.04 euros, a price above the offer of Cinven, a market up 1%.

On Wednesday morning, Asian stock markets are moving in the positive. This early morning, the Bank of Japan also announced that it retained its interest rates to 0.1%. The World Bank, East Asian development is driving the global economic recovery, but these countries need reform to enjoy sustained growth.The institution expects an increase of 8.7% of GDP in the area in 2010.

Around 8:15 am, the CAC index futures expire in April 2010 predict an opening near balance (-0.01%).

Rich economic news

Side Europe, INSEE and ISAE Ifo and its equivalents, will unveil their outlook for the second quarter of the year. At 11 hours, the GDP of the eurozone in the fourth quarter of 2009 (third estimate). At the same time, will be published the second estimate of the composite PMI services for the month of March, and prices for industrial production.

In the U.S., weekly stocks of crude oil will be reviewed by financial operators. Oil is quite stable in anticipation of these figures, but quickly approached $ 87 in recent days. Investors anticipate a rise in global demand.The Qatari Minister of Energy Abdullah al-Attiyah said Tuesday that it was not necessary to bring OPEC to discuss soaring prices at the highest in a year and a half No credit check payday loans.

At 19:30, the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, will speak on "Economic Challenges past, present and future. A speech certainly scrutinized closely in the wake of its decision on rates. Any change of address would be taken seriously.

Finally, at 21 hours, the figures on consumer credit in the U.S. in February.

Using concrete for Renault and Daimler

The Franco-Japanese alliance Renault-Nissan and Daimler, the German manufacturer Mercedes and Smart have announced equity cross-holdings of 3.1%, and a broad industrial partnership.The Renault shares surged 3.86% to 36.87 euros at the close yesterday.

Carrefour prepares to leave Portugal, reports Le Figaro. The retailer will start selling the 524 hard discount stores it operates in this country under the banner Minipre?o. Their turnover has reached 915 million euros in 2009.

Rentabiliweb Specialist monetization of online and offline audiences, today announced it won a bidding group France Televisions in order to monetize the sites hearings France Televisions Interactive.

Deinove today launches his bid for the purchase of shares. Offer clot April 20 and the first titles will be on the Paris stock exchange – Alternext – from April 21. The "greentech" hopes to raise from 12 to 15 million euros in the financial markets to fund its research.

Maurel and Prom will publish its annual results after-hours trade.

This proposal of the Ministry of Defense, Boeing has missed Thursday comes in the wake of the Obama-Sarkozy meeting in Washington. The two presidents have sought to calm the sceneBarack Obama has promised that the tender would be fair, Nicolas Sarkozy told to trust the President of the United States and found that EADS should respond.

Today, there is no reason to think that the Pentagon will change the 400 evaluation criteria for the tender as Northrop Grumman, EADS ally, was considered biased and cut on able to benefit Boeing and its 767 KC B facing the Airbus A 330 KC. In early March, Northrop decided to throw in the towel and not to compete; EADS had followed.The duo had yet won the contract in 2008 but was canceled.

If the criteria do not change, why it would persist EADS? The stakes are high because Airbus is counting on this contract to settle industrial United States with an assembly plant in Alabama to become a supplier to the Pentagon and a leading market player in the military world.

Therefore EADS can withdraw without having explored all avenues. "The Pentagon is not a political stance: it has opened the door. The question is whether we can rebuild the economy of the project with new partners while meeting the criteria with the best possible price cash advance no fax.This in 60 days, "says one at EADS.

Pentagon Approval

Mission impossible? This time, the group led by Louis Welsh would hand over the project and the allocation of tasks and margins because the Pentagon has agreed to accept as a leader (prime contractor), whereas previously this function was reserved for an American, namely Northrop.

EADS believes can be because it has already proven with the tanker for the Australian Army with the first aircraft to be delivered in Canberra in late 2010. The aircraft systems through the nacelles or the boom, the refueling boom, EADS and Airbus have done everything. Clearly, they have already militarized apparatus.In the U.S., the group would appeal to American partners with specific expertise that does not hold, for example on defense electronics (transmission interconnection between the planes of the U.S. Air Force …). Groups such as BAE Systems, Honeywell or L3com provide a good profile.

As a "bonus", EADS bear more risk, but still would review its pricing policy. In contrast, no question of taking the contract loss. EADS must reach adjust its prices so that its plane, larger than that of Boeing, is competitive. The Pentagon has made it clear he wants the best device whose capabilities are at least those of an airplane that looks like two drops of water in B767 and the lowest price. The Pentagon would not refuse a bigger plane if it did not cost more. The equation is complex.For now, the prevailing consensus within EADS to study the way to the end. But nothing is yet decided.

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Around 220,000 Peugeot and Citro?n released each year of the plant, operational since February 2005 but "only a portion of production is concerned because according to the versions, gasoline or diesel, this is not the same type of elements" that is used, he said.Both urban French car manufacturer are assembled on the assembly lines of Toyota, which produces Kolin his little Aygo. This model is one of eight that the Japanese manufacturer decided to recall in Europe for a lack of accelerator pedal.

But virtually all components of the three models are the same, which explains why PSA is also forced to recall cars. In this context, the French manufacturer will "study in the coming days and weeks with the procedures for Toyota this season" reminder, "added the spokesman.

"The limits of the Toyota"

On paper, PSA and Toyota are equal partners in their joint venture TPCA (Toyota Peugeot Citro?n Automobile) which manages the site of Kolin.But in reality, it is indeed a Toyota, the Japanese are in charge of designing and manufacturing vehicles free business cards .

For CGT Peugeot Sochaux (Doubs), the recall of vehicles demonstrates "the limits of the Toyota, denouncing a kind of production with" the minimum time to study and design of facilities, personnel and wages " and "no talk of outsourcing to the death."

The crisis facing Toyota is the task of oil and other manufacturers. Before PSA, the U.S. Ford has suspended production as a precaution for some commercial vehicles in China using the same faulty accelerator pedal as Toyota. This measure concerns, however, less than 2,000 vehicles. Besides the joint venture with PSA, Toyota owns with another Japanese, Subaru.Their factory is located in Indiana, the United States.

Toyota is forced to recall millions of cars around the world for lack of accelerator pedal detected in the United States, Canada, China and Europe. Nothing the United States, 2.3 million vehicles have been recalled over 270,000 points of Canada and 75,000 in China.

In Europe, the number of affected vehicles could reach 1.8 million. Eight models are concerned: AYGO, iQ, Yaris, Auris, Corolla Verso, Avensis and RAV4. The number of cars each country concerned should be seen "running next week," said the spokesman for Toyota.

The Japanese giant's chairman, Akio Toyoda, apologized Saturday for this one problem.World leading manufacturer since 2008, Toyota had already experienced a technical problem that forced him to recall cars in the United States due to a defect in the carpet can also block the accelerator

Fran?ois Longin: This term is preferred savings often used but it is not really the case for at least two reasons. The first is financial. The product units accounts sitting on the CAC 40 have suffered from the crisis. As for funds in euro, eroding their earnings. 5%, it rose to 4.5% or 3.8% for some. But with returns that remain between 3% to 4%, life insurance remains more attractive than money market products whose performance flirts with 1%.The second reason is related to the reform of inheritance tax since 2007 has lost a little interest in life insurance.

Life insurance is it still a good product transmission?

The tax rules for the transmission of money invested in life insurance have not changed, but the reform of inheritance taken by the Government to facilitate such donations, has lost its interest in life insurance. Particularly as regards the succession between spouses. However, holders of life insurance can now pay up to 150,000 euros to each of their children, not inheritance. This allows for example a couple with two children to give each of them 300,000 euros for free.Beyond 150,000 euros, the transmission is taxed at 20%.

What issues should I consider before choosing a contract of life insurance?

Before choosing an insurance-life, we must address three key points. The profitability, risk and liquidity funds. Profitability, in other words, the compensation offered by the contract is important. It will depend on the type of support. Either you invest in a fund in euros, based on government bonds and the yield will be between 3.5% and 4.80%. Whether you choose the fund units of account, also called multichannel, whose performance is more important because you take more risks by investing in shares or funds to emerging markets. It's more risky, but the year after, people who have invested in French shares have gained 20%.

It must then linger on the liquidity of funds.The money is not actually blocked, but it is more or less detrimental to withdraw money before age 8.

Finally, we must be vigilant about fees: entry fees, which disappear on the Internet, and management fees that range between 0.6% and 1% under the contracts.

At what age is it interesting to take out life insurance?

The tax treatment of life changes during the life of the insured. Over the insured later withdrew the money invested is more interesting. Insurers therefore recommend to take a contract as soon as practicable, to date, and this even if the person is simply placing a small capital without making further payments in the first place.When young, you can also take more risk and choose unit-linked contracts account for more attractive returns.

Can we rely on contracts offered on internet?

They are good products in the sense that it has internet access to the same fund as the insurance contracts traded in the "real world", with more direct access to place orders. Other service not found with traditional life assurance: all orders have a written record, the process is to me more reliably than through an intermediary. The sites of online brokerage also offers advice and simulations. Opting for a contract on the internet, however, implies that one has some experience of financial investments.

The ZP10, is baptized by AVE0010 Sanofi, should be launched on the market in 2012.Sanofi wants to be the successor of Lantus insulin his star, who in 2008 has already generated 2.4 billion euros in sales and has raised a number of sales of laboratory medicine in the first nine months of 2009. The pharmaceutical group is already preparing the loss of patent for this drug in Europe and the United States in 2014. So in addition to the ZP10, Sanofi is testing a new version of Lantus. If it successfully passes the test, he could receive a patent until 2025.

Being on all fronts

Since the beginning of the year, Sanofi is trying every means to expand its portfolio. In addition to equity from Zealand Pharma, the group also focuses its activity in atrial fibrillation, a heart disorder.

On Monday, Sanofi announced the acquisition of Chattem, a leading drug sold without prescription in the United States, for 1.9 billion dollars.An operation that should allow him to become the No. 5 global counter medications. A segment very promising since it generated 86.6 billion dollars worldwide in 2008 with 20 billion in the United States. On this market alone, it was the fifth acquisition made by Sanofi-Aventis between 2008 and 2009, after the Australian Symbion, the Argentine Gramon, the French specialist food supplements and beauty products Kernpharm the Netherlands last month.

Other operations were performed in the generic (Medley, Kendrick, Zentiva), ophthalmology (Fovea), vaccine (Shantha) or in animal health with the purchase for 2.8 billion euros of the 50 % of its U.S. partner in the Merck Merial Veterinary Laboratory. Recently, market rumors evoked recovery of German Ratiopharm fourth generic manufacturer in the world, boosted as the stock market.

In total, Chris Viehbacher, head of Sanofi-Aventis since December 2008, launched 31 acquisitions and partnerships in 2009. And the movement should continue in 2010.

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