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The Paris Bourse should attempt a rebound on Tuesday, a day after falling more than 3%. Around 8:02, the CAC 40 futures contract shown up 1.02%, suggesting a sharply higher opening of the Paris index. The movement should be a European future since the Frankfurt Stock Exchange advance them to 0.68%.

The problems of sovereign debt, however, should hang over the markets. The pressure rises in the euro zone since Moody's announced that the triple A French was threatened. Spain and Italy are always attacked in the bond markets. Finally, Germany is in the viewfinder of many observers who believe the country could experience a domino effect on the market.

But Europe is not the only one to raise the nervousness of the operators.

For now, the rating agencies Standard & Poor's and Moody's reported that U.S. credit rating would not be affected by the failure of these discussions. Fitch, however, said it could revise its outlook on maintaining its AAA rating assigned to the United States. It recalls that it had warned in August that "a failure of the super committee to reach an agreement would likely have a negative result on the rating" of the country.

This news has already had the effect of falling Wall Street yesterday and the stock markets in Asia this morning, confirming the prediction of Japanese Finance Minister, Jun Azumi, said this morning that fearing "a big disappointment in the markets."

Oil rises

Under the spotlight, the United States must deliver on Tuesday the second reading of GDP in the third quarter.

Most of the people assume all individual health insurance plans to be similar. And it is here they do the mistake.

The tax is sure to be one of the main themes of the campaign. First question of democracy: the French have always been upset with the tax. This is not new. But now they no longer understand the meaning. Taxpayers do not know why they are not taxed when the money from. They wonder if they are "just" dizzy and taxed at the constant changes in the foot of the state, making our tax system totally unpredictable, unreadable, and therefore ineffective.How many French know they will pay for the first time this year a portion of their housing tax for inter-municipal, that is to say, of municipalities, they know nothing? How many business owners know exactly how much they will pay in lieu of business tax, abolished last year in favor of two new taxes? Reconcile with the citizen taxpayer is more than ever an imperative, when the both of them were again tempted to exile.

Question of economic efficiency then. One can only be struck by the complete lack of fiscal strategy of the Finance Bill 2012, currently under discussion in Parliament. In the eyes of officials of Bercy, the only way to increase tax revenues is to remove the niches or benefits made in the tax calculation.More than half of the 11 billion euros in additional savings are announced in late August and the removal of some old tax benefits. Now that the idea has been fueled largely with public opinion than the 104 billion euros in lost revenue for state coffers that are the fiscal and social niches, half are "very effective" or "inefficient", this solution is actually the easiest to implement. But it can serve as long-term program. As niches, whose real term is "tax expenditure", are as fundamental to encourage private investors to replace the public investor.No niches, no investment in France, which already sorely lacking.

Reform the income tax

The tax reform in 2012 will revolve around three major issues: how to bring balance between taxation of wealth and income? How to get to his income tax progressivity? What future for VAT?

To these questions, the UMP and the PS will provide different answers, of course bad credit payday advance. But the rules are the same for all. France can no longer raise taxes. The tax ratio-mandatory, ie the tax burden, amounted to 44.5% of GDP, close to its historical levels (44.9% in 1999). But conversely, the disastrous situation of public finances prevents them down.The "big bang" will be announced fiscal totally bounded in the universe: it will be a rebalancing in depth, but revenue constant.

Some lines of force emerge. The income tax in its present form, is on trial. Two transformations are emerging: reconsider its progressivity, that is to say goodbye slices. Or merge it with the CSG, an idea that has the favor of PS and a large part of the UMP. This merger should not be mistaken, broaden the tax base, will make the income tax fairer, but will also be more painful for the average incomes.

Similarly, it will not escape a VAT reform. Since 2008, 15 European countries have found, for fiscal consolidation, so much so that the rate of 19.6% French is now among the lowest in the euro area, 1 point lower than the average.Especially down at the other, the government chose to lower it for some sectors (food, building …).

Finally, there is the balance between taxation of income and wealth. The most sensitive issue. Recently, in Le Figaro, the budget minister Valérie Pécresse explained: "By raising taxes on savings, we compare the taxation of wealth from that of labor income." The road has only begun. One can imagine what awaits holders of wealth in the coming years …

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It's a funny for that women's football. Originally included in the most prestigious prizes for men and hopes, the TV rights specialists on women's football is becoming the subject of a separate market. Direct 8, the DTT channel created by the Bolloré Group and is currently being acquired by Canal +, made the nice observation. "In 2007, Yannick Bolloré has decided to change our schedule to that of a general channel, explains Thierry Cheleman, Director of Sports Direct 8. Implying sports programs. " Although too small to address the sporting rights of the men's national team, then put Direct 8 on the lower category. "At the time, the French Football Federation (FFF) launched a tender for the national championship and hopes, the director continues.This lot also included the TV rights of the Women's Team France until 2014, for which we are therefore committed to broadcast three games a year. "

Public expectations for the beautiful game

Bingo. More than blueberries (or hopes), the girls create the surprise sport in 2009 and 2010 during the qualifying matches in the Women's World Cup 2011. Helping performance, each game attracts between 300,000 and 400,000 viewers on TNT channel, reaching over 700,000 fans August 25, 2009, for the first prime-time (France / Serbia).

Rebelote in 2011. Building on this success for the Hearing, Direct 8 means in effect in 2010 with Eurosport, a subsidiary of TF1, the rights of the Women's World Cup 2011, acquired at the same time as the Men's World Cup 2010. Coproducts and codiffusés by both channels, games are a success hearings.Especially since the disappointment surrounding the men's team at the World Cup in South Africa in 2010 frustrated football fans. "After the episode of Knysna, there was a latent expectation of the French for the beautiful game and a fighting team, Fabrice Lorvo analysis, a sports marketing specialist at FTPA. The public was ready to ignite their national team. The spark, it is the girls who brought them. "

To date, the semi-final France / USA Women's World Cup represents the historical record of the chain … and all channels TNT (2.43 million viewers, 17.4% audience share). Normally, the average audience of Direct 8 between 2 and 2.5% market share. Since then, the magic continues.Since the start of the qualifying matches for Euro 2013 Blue to seduce between 720,000 and 940,000 fans.

The appetite of the major broadcasters would raise prices

Given this popularity, the chain does not stop there, and is now attacking the European and national. "If a French club in 2012 reached the final of the Champions League Women, we might be candidates to UEFA to broadcast the match," said Thierry Cheleman. Last year, the epic European Lyonnaises, who had won the competition against Potsdam, had already resulted in an audience of 1.2 million viewers (4.9% market share), peaking 1.9 million. Meanwhile, the management of Direct 8 has made an offer to FFF for TV rights of the first women's division (D1) over the period 2012-2014.Insufficient supply, Eurosport and France Television has won the set in August.

It is the flip side: the structuring of the market for women's football TV rights could eventually crowd out smaller players. "For the TV rights are the subject of a market requires that the images are produced and disseminated. Two years ago, it was not the case for women's football. Direct 8 that produces the games itself, has allowed the emergence of women's football on television in the clear, "Fabrice Lorvo analysis. On average, the chain said spend between 40,000 and 50,000 euros per game. The emergence of such a market whets the appetites and proposals for new broadcasters.

For the giants of the sport are Eurosport and Canal + could well participate in the cost inflation of rights, if performance women are superior to those of men.Inflation that is already seeing Thierry Cheleman, even if they are about 100 times lower than those of men. From this point of view, the acquisition by the pay channel Direct 8 could be an asset, "even if it is too early to draw clear ambitions to Canal + for Direct 8 on women's football," he concludes .

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Astrium Geo-Information Services, a subsidiary of Astrium and ex-Spot Image, aims to be selected as the supplier of the Brazilian military and federal government satellite imagery. Maps urban civil and military ones. Brasilia wants to update. The task, gigantic, is the extent of this vast country which ranks Brazil fifth in the world by land area with 8.5 million km of which 62% of forest and 16,000 km of borders.

Faced with the challenge, Astrium-Geo Information Services in 2009 created a subsidiary 100% owned and based in São Paulo. "We presented our offer to the Department of Defense," said Pierre Duquesne, Executive Director of the subsidiary, the latest implementations of EADS in Brazil.The company presented the armed capabilities of a new satellite earth observation Spot Image of the constellation Pleiades to be launched by the Russian Soyuz rocket by the end of the year from the spaceport of Kourou. The satellite will collect images that, once retired, will offer a very high resolution of 50 cm. The Ministry of Defence who wanted to start the process of buying the pictures this year shifted a few months, normally 2012.

On the front of civil contracts, Astrium Geo-Information Services Brazil relies on feedback from pioneering three states with which it has contracts. "State of Mato Grosso, Para and Rondonia have established a precise mapping of their territory by purchasing our images with a resolution of 2.5 meters.Their experience serves as a benchmark for the federal government has decided to extend the operation to the whole country, "says the CEO of the subsidiary that conducted in 2010 4 million in revenue against 2.5 million in 2009.Ces states are particularly affected by the operations of deforestation by wild cattle and rape creditreport.

The deforestation in the Amazon increased by 15%

Time is running out. As part of the Copenhagen summit on climate in 2009, Brazil agreed to reduce from 36.1 to 39.8% its emissions of greenhouse gas emissions and 80% deforestation of the Amazon rainforest that is home 30,000 different species and contains 12% of freshwater on the planet. The Brazilians must take stock of their efforts at the summit in June 2012 "Rio +20" which marks the anniversary of the first Earth Summit, held in Rio in 1992.However, 80% of these emissions are the direct result of deforestation. Add to this the effect of climate change. To act, replanting trees, protecting certain areas … Brasilia needs to observe its territory to establish an environmental and rural cadastre. The idea is to look closer to the evolution of the Amazon forest which still covers 62% of the country but also to see if farmers comply with the legislation in terms of width of the forest along the rivers in their areas crops and forests etc. and identify the illegal loggers.

A study by the Brazilian Institute for Space Research (INPE), the deforestation in the Amazon increased 15% between July 2010 and July 2011.Clearly, 2654 km2 of vegetation have disappeared, especially in the states of Mato Grosso and Para.

In the short term, the government purchased for several tens of millions of reals (1 euro = 2.5 reais) at Astrium-Geo images collected by the SPOT satellites or belong to space agencies such as ESA. "Secondly, Brasilia could decide to buy satellites to Earth observation," said Pierre Duquesne.

The Social Security deficit next year will reach nearly 14 billion euros. It is the goal set by the government, which presented Thursday its 2012 budget proposal of the "Safely." There are three more years, the amount would have seemed catastrophic. Today, it appears as a significant improvement (the second row from the terrible years 2009 and 2010), almost a relief.

Achieving this goal will require new efforts, however. According to estimates published by the Commission alongside the accounts of the social security system, the "hole" would amount to 21.2 billion more next year, if nothing new savings or revenues were taken ("trend ").This is despite rather favorable macroeconomic assumptions adopted by the government (1.75% growth, 3.7% increase in payroll).

Patchwork savings

To do better, the government is "primarily on cost containment through structural reforms," ​​pleads one in the entourage of the Minister of Public Accounts, Valérie Pécresse. There's no question for the industry pensions. The second step of delaying the legal age (60 years and eight months from 1 January), listed in the reform of Sarkozy, Woerth 2010, 1.2 billion will reduce the total pension paid in 2012, says Bercy. And this effect will intensify over the years, until 2018, when the legal age will reach age 62.However, for the health branch, the major economies announced for next year are less than a fundamental reform of a traditional patchwork (lower prices of drugs or radiological, snacking benefits of sick leave …).

After the strikes, the seismic risk. The difficulties accumulate in building long-awaited Grand Stade Lille. Started in September 2010, work could take longer than expected, due to a change in the classification of the site northerner on the scale of seismic standards. Since the entry into force on 1 May new standards of seismic hazard of the site hosting the future stadium is indeed changed from "no" to "low".

What put a little more at risk delivery, planned for July 2012, the sports arena of 50,300 seats (against about 17,000 for the current Stadium north of Villeneuve d'Ascq). Peter Berger, the executive director of Eiffage, the construction group in charge of construction of the building, has even called him on Thursday of "non-zero" probability that the works are delayed.Concern, as the club relied on Yankee start next season in its new enclosure.

Delays are common

"Overall, the case of clubs, a stadium delivered on time is a rare occurrence, says Michel Desbordes, a sports marketing specialist and author of neo-sports marketing. Apart from international competitions, where the issues of image of a country are important, it is very common that a project is continually delayed. Even Olympique Lyonnais (OL), whose business model is currently considered the most effective, has difficulties in advancing the Stadium of Light. "

For France champion football title, the expected financial impact of this new project could be delayed."Arsenal, whose business model is comparable to the LOSC, saw its sales jump 58% in the year of commissioning of its new stadium, the Emirates Stadium during the 2006/2007 season "Michel Desbordes analysis. Extrapolating this example to the club Lille, LOSC could see its sales jump by over 37 million, compared to the estimated budget of 75 million euros for the 2012/2013 season. It would be similar and even more of the OL and its 160 million annual budget.

Less attractive media

The delays do not affect these numbers, especially as the additional time construction should be limited to a few weeks totally free credit score. But "it would deprive the Losc its new stadium for a season, warns Michel Desbordes.Although the Grand Stade Lille Métropole was delivered in December 2012, it could not be put into service before the next season or in 2013/2014. " In addition to the shortfall in terms of ticketing, LOSC would be so deprived for a few more months of additional revenue related to greater media exposure. However, this parameter now weighs about a third of the money collected by the clubs under the TV rights. According to the blog dedicated FootBiz, they would have amounted to 42.5 million euros for the champion of France for the 2010/2011 season.

Moreover, competitive sports club could be undermined, some players have taken into account in their decision to remain at the club northerner, the prospect of work in a stage art and visibility.

In addition to these issues difficult to quantify financial benefits, harm the most accurate for the club remains the additional invoice from new technical requirements. According to information Chained Duck, the additional cost compared to 324 million euros expected, would reach nearly 100 million euros.

From this point of view, Eiffage and the urban community of Lille Métropole pass the buck, saying it is not their responsibility to support the financial consequences of a decision state. The construction group, however, should think twice to avoid blocking the progress of work in such a status quo could result. Last June, the Polish city of Bialystok has decided unilaterally to break a contract for close to 40 million euros to build a football stadium, citing delays too great. Eiffage challenging a decision.

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"The major difference between the 2008 crisis and the looming today? This time, we should not expect China to save the world to the tune of hundreds of billion yuan stimulus plan. "For this manager, the situation of China explains much of the current stock markets tumble world. Everyone is afraid now a powerful brake on the side of Beijing. However, a slowdown in the Chinese economy could dangerously jeopardize the recovery of the entire planet.

This brake application that profile every day, while inflationary pressures continue to weigh on Beijing could prompt the central government to continue to raise interest rates, taking the risk of curbing its industrial growth.

The index of consumer prices rose 6.5% in July year on year, against 6.4% in June, according to figures from National Bureau of Statistics released Tuesday. This is its strongest acceleration in three years. From month to month, prices rose 0.5% in July against 0.3% between May and June

Between January and July, inflation has reached 5.5%. Far from the 4% target set initially for the entire year by the Chinese leadership. And still above the revised target of 5%.Premier Wen Jiabao warned in June that this goal would remain the government's priority, although the task is "difficult".

Ample liquidity

The July figures correspond to an expected peak of the rise in prices, which should subside in the coming months, according to most analysts. "Inflation is generally under control and, more encouragingly, the moderation of core inflation suggests that the campaign of monetary tightening government holds the price pressure on the demand side," said Matthew circumstances a economist for Moody's Analytics no faxing 1 hour payday loans.

In the short term some concerns will therefore dissipate.But the new uncertainty in global markets and weak growth prospects in Europe and the United States creates additional pressure for China, which has its hands tied in the adoption of a possible stimulus package likely to eat too inflation.

The party faces an abundance of liquidity in the economy, the main cause of rising prices. The final recovery plan adopted in late 2008 to boost the economy has led local governments to borrow up to 1.16 trillion euros, of which 80% were on loan from Chinese banks, according to a recent report by the National Bureau of audit. For now, the party seeking to stabilize its economy rather than risk a new runaway.

This also explains the nervousness that exists among senior leaders of the international situation.The countries concerned by the problems of debt and deficit must adopt policies "monetary and fiscal concrete and responsible," Wen Jiabao said Tuesday. Things are clear: the largest creditor in the world now pose the conditions before consent to any-will.

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The U.S. stock markets have moved from dark red to balance on Friday afternoon. Opening on a steep downward trend after poor economic data, the indices on Wall Street have reduced their losses after the speech of Barack Obama. Around 17:15, the Dow Jones down more than 0.25% at 12,210 points and the Standard & Poor's 500 yields 0.02% to 1300 points while the Nasdaq 100 round ahead by 0.25% to 2773 points. Thursday, Wall Street recorded a fifth straight session decline.

Barack Obama spoke Friday. He urged Republicans and Democrats to find a solution to raise the debt ceiling by 2 August, when the United States would find themselves in default if no compromise was found."We are very far from reaching an agreement, there are plenty of solutions," tried to reassure the U.S. president, stating that "any solution should be supported by both parties."

A dicours has reassured the markets but in the beginning of sessions, investissuers received three cold showers on.

The bad news on the front of the U.S. economy weighed heavily on the trend of economic growth the U.S. has slowed sharply in 2011 to 1.3% annual rate in the second quarter in a first estimate published Friday by the U.S. government.This growth rate, below analysts' expectations (1.8%), is particularly low given the significant revision of the first quarter, now estimated at 0.4% against 1.9% in June

A little later, more bad news: the U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated more than expected in July, falling to a level not seen since March 2009, weighed down by rising unemployment and stagnating purchasing power, reveal final estimates of the survey Reuters / University of Michigan reported Friday.

In addition, economic activity in the Chicago area (northern USA) decelerated in July, according to the index released Friday by the professional association ISM, which stood at 58.8 against 61.1 in June

Moody's lowers rating outlook for Spain

Adding to the nervousness of the markets in Europe, the rating agency Moody's is considering lowering the rating of Spain. On the foreign exchange market, the euro was immediately dropped below the 1.43 dollar. Around 11:00, the European currency was worth 1.4276 dollars against 1.4324 dollars on Thursday night. Oil prices also retreated in the late morning. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery was trading at 117.10 dollars on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) in London, down 26 cents from the close of Thursday.In electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, a barrel of "light sweet crude" (WTI) for the same maturity fell by 52 cents to 96.92 dollars.

The side of values

Starbucks (-1% to 39.58 dollars) unveiled for the third quarter of its fiscal year profit up 34% to 279 million and a turnover of 2.9 billion dollars, up 12% and 8 % same-store thanks to an increase in traffic (6%) and average ticket (2%). CEO Howard Schultz commented: "We hope to achieve our EPS growth of 15% to 20% in fiscal 2012. ".

For his part, Metlife (1.48% at 40 and 40 dollars) recorded operating income of $ 16.9 billion, up 33%.Premiums and other revenues increased to 11.8 38U billion, following the acquisition of Alico, while investment income jumped 24% to $ 5.1 billion.

Chesapeake Energy (3.77% to 34.69 dollars) realized in the third quarter earnings per share of 0.76 dollars against 0.75 dollars excluding special items.

Expedia (3.48% to $ 30) recorded an adjusted earnings per share of 0.55 dollars in the second quarter against 0.44 dollar a year earlier. Revenues jumped 23% to $ 1 billion. Gross bookings increased 19% and the number of transactions increased by 15% while advertising revenues rose 27%.

McKesson (0.60% to 80.08 dollars) made from earnings per share for the first quarter of 1.27 dollar against 1.16 dollar last year and a turnover of 30 billion dollars in 9% increase.The company raised its earnings per share target to 6.09 – 6.29 dollars against a previous estimate of 5.55 – 5.75 dollars.

Motorola Mobility (-5.06% to 21.75 dollars) has issued an earnings per share for the second quarter of 0.09 dollars against a loss of 0.3 dollar per share last year. Sales rose 28% to $ 3.3 billion.

The U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has sought reassurance on Sunday, while negotiations stretch again about raising the ceiling of U.S. debt: "The U.S. will not default, he repeated . There is no way to give more time in Congress. Leaders of major parties understand this. "

The aim of these negotiations is twofold: first to raise the ceiling of U.S. debt authorized, currently set at 14,300 billion and achieved since mid-May Without agreement on this point, the Treasury warned that the United States would find themselves in default of payment on 2 August. A scenario unique to cause global bond market crash.In an interview Sunday at the program "This Week", the new general director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, has also warned the U.S. against the "truly deplorable consequences" of such a scenario for country and the world.

Elected officials must also agree on a comprehensive plan of savings, without which Democrats as Republicans admit that the U.S. debt would be difficult to sustain over time. An aging population should lead to higher mechanical effect of public debt, charged in the future by heavier spending on health and higher costs related to the pension system. However, the U.S. national debt has already reached the summits, looked with suspicion by the rating agencies.

Budget cuts

But elected officials have reviewed this weekend to lower their ambitions.The Republican chairman of the House of Representatives of the United States, John Boehner, said Saturday that he would not agree on the broad deficit-reduction plan advocated by Barack Obama. Instead of four trillion dollars in savings over ten years requested by the President of the United States and considered necessary by the rating agencies, is now on a more narrow the range of 2000-3000000000000 dollars, to be negotiated between the elected officials, said John Boehner guaranteed pay day loans.

"Despite good faith efforts to find a common base, the White House will not consent to a broader agreement on reducing the debt without raising taxes. So I think that the best approach might be to focus on a smaller, "said the Republican.

Electoral concerns

After days of deadlock, negotiations had yet appeared to unravel Thursday, after Obama met with leaders of both major parties in Congress. In granting budget cuts for health and social security, so far regarded as untouchable by the Democrats, Barack Obama has paved the way for an agreement that he would like "historic".

In return, the president was calling for concessions from the Republicans on the taxation of the rich. "We can not ask the middle class and senior citizens to bear alone the brunt of budget cuts, held Saturday, spokesman for the White House. Are also the richest pay their fair share, and we believe that Americans agree on this point. "

For their part, Republicans are reluctant to vote for one trillion tax increases that Barack Obama is calling for. In general, Republicans as Democrats are concerned that measures spending cuts or tax increases adopted in the savings plan does not cost them the next election.

Barack Obama would meet again in the early evening the leaders of the House of Representatives, where Republicans are the majority, and Senate. The White House said in the wake of the announcement of John Boehner she still hoped to get him back on his positions.

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A year after the liberalization of gambling on the Internet, which some had as a jackpot is not insured the success expected.

While the law was intended to fight against an illegal offer bloated Regulatory Authority of online games (Arjel) has granted 49 licenses to 35 operators (25 in poker, 16 and 8 in paris sports paris horse) but some players – among the largest – continue to go on unauthorized sites. "One of the major objectives was to ensure that the French are all on sites approved by the Arjel, has not been reached," said Nicolas Beraud, president BetClick Everest Group and the French Association of Online Game (Afjel), which paints a mixed picture of the opening. Since June 2010, the French have wagered 1.5 billion euros in Paris and equestrian sports, according Arjel.In poker, the stakes are higher than 6 billion euros, plus 800 million in entrance fees to tournaments.

Newcomers complain about not earning money. They are also worried about the lack of appetite for players for their offer. "On sports paris, the number of active players accounts is down from the 7th month of the opening," says Christophe Blot, CEO Sajoo site.

Tax debate

In this context, the perspective of a possible change in the law, in November, is the subject of intense lobbying, pure Internet players (BetClick, Bwin …) are penalized by the judging rules. "We demand a change in the tax base," said Emmanuel de Rohan Chabot, CEO of ZEturf. Opinions differ."We stand for maintaining the cap are paid back to players, along with a set of taxation," says one to the PMU, while in the French game (FDJ), it is estimated that "the current tax helps contain the addiction and the risk of money ". "There is no need to change the balance of the law, thinks Bélinguier Bertrand, president of the Ffejel, which represents casino Barrière, Joa, Sharp, the FDJ and PMU. But we can simplify the formalities for opening accounts, expanding the supply of paris sports and strengthen the fight against illegality by giving more powers to Arjel. "

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