Jun 15 2011

To Walnut, the risk of contagion from the crisis in Greece is "secondary"

Tag: economic, events, money, people, specialadmin @ 6:04 pm

Christian Noyer confirmed and signed. Any restructuring of the debt would be treated as a failure on the part of Greece is absolutely unacceptable. Because it would then "get ready to fully finance the Greek economy", stressed on Tuesday the governor of the Bank of France, who presented to the press his 2010 annual report.

It is the "horror scenario" that he had already detailed there are just three weeks. On the one hand, Greek banks are primarily affected by a rescheduling of the debt that they are the largest holders, and they could then refinance with more of the ECB.And secondly, the Athens government would certainly lean its financial charges, but since it currently has a primary deficit (excluding payment of the debt burden) of about 5% of GDP, could no longer borrow and wheat would be unable to finance its current spending, including salaries.

"If a solution can be found that avoids the risk of default, it seems appropriate," said the governor added, however, without specifying what he himself described as "acceptable business solution paperless payday loans." For his part, Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, said Monday that "the debt restructuring should be voluntary (from creditors). In this case is avoided because a "credit event" and "default." This solution was implemented in 2009 in favor of Hungary, under the IMF.But, as recalled an institutional manager, "was technically easy because it was bank loans held by half a dozen operators, while for Greece hundreds of investors are concerned."

"Our only concern is the financing of the Greek economy. You can add a second concern is the risk of contagion, "says Christian Noyer, referring implicitly to the earthquake in September 2008 had triggered the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. "But this has nothing to do with our own balance sheet (the ECB has purchased a fifty billion of debt securities Greek, Ed) nor with that of European banks who are perfectly capable of handling all the scenarios that could present, "insisted the gouverneur.f


Jun 11 2011

Drought has plagued the French industry in April

Tag: Uncategorized, life, people, publications, specialadmin @ 10:56 am

The wrong number of French industrial production in April cache of surprises. Certainly, the activity of the entire industry fell 0.3% over this period, while forecasters had expected a rise of 0.4% and economists agree to observe a slowdown of the dynamics the first quarter. But the details of the figures in April can put this performance-cons.

Besides the automotive industry continues to suffer with the end of the scrapping (-2.2% on the month), the energy seems to be the main cause of industrial slowdown in April. Electricity production (-5.6%) was significantly affected by unseasonable temperatures, households cut heating, explain heart economists at BNP Paribas and Societe Generale.Same explanation for the drop of 7.5% of the refining, weighed by lower consumption of heating oil.

The average temperature in April has exceeded its normal seasonal 1.7 degrees, placing the period from seven months to April the warmest since 1950. Beware, however: "The figures are very volatile energy from one month to another and this subset weighs relatively little in the overall index of industrial production," Camille Williencourt shade, Natixis.

Other areas seem to have benefited from a recovery in investment. Equipment and electrical machinery and electronics rose 1.3% in just one month, offsetting a fall in March. Transport equipment, non-automotive jumped 2.5%."These figures are in line with the recent study by INSEE on the investment outlook, anticipating a strong rebound in business spending on equipment", says Michael Martinez, of Société Générale CIB.

Still, he recalls Camille Williencourt that "the French industrial activity is expected to slow significantly in 2011 after rising 5.1% in 2010." It is difficult to predict how the magnitude of the slowdown, according to the economist, with one side a weakened consumer spending in France, but on the other, very dynamic export to Germany.


May 31 2011

CFDT: A strike fund has 137 million

Tag: business, money, news, special, technologyadmin @ 5:00 pm

A revolution! For the first time, trade unions and employers are required this year to prepare and publish consolidated accounts but also to be certified, if their income exceeds 230,000 euros. The MEDEF has outstripped the obligation, which certify its accounts since 2007, and the UIMM (metal) also holds itself to the year since the scandal of cash withdrawals that hit her.

Side unions, the CFDT is the first to meet that obligation, after the 2008 law on union representativeness. Confederation (the parent) and its 16 satellites are to publish their consolidated accounts for 2010, while his federation will do so before the end of the year.By law, the regional unions and department have postponed for a year and large enterprise unions (La Poste, SNCF …) two years.

According to these consolidated financial statements approved by the National Council and certified without qualification by its auditors, the resources of the confederation headed by Francois Chereque are for three quarters, "internal" membership fees, rents paid by unions from premises belonging to the "conf" financial products … Revenues "external" (public subsidies, 25 permanent paid by their company or home administration of a total of 262 …) represent the remaining 24%.

CFDT confederation, if it were a business, could be described as largely unproductive, as its net profit reached 3.4 million – although down 34% year on year. This "benefit" is fully distributed.Much is destined to the national industrial action (CNAs) – the credit union's anti-strike which is used to compensate the militants and to provide legal support – including reserve amounts to 137 million. This year, 550,000 euros have been set aside to fund the convention of 2014 and 350,000 for the campaign (especially industrial tribunal) to come.

"A subject opaque"

This transparency is not enough new to the group New Center of the Assembly, which has asked a commission of inquiry into the financing of trade unions. "I feel that the unions want to hide things," says Nicolas Perruchot, deputy of Loir-et-Cher.There is little evidence available to us and it is time to shed light on this mat. "

For him, it would be for an organization that benefits from public funds – or militant training grants management of social organizations – accountable. "We know how Nicolas Sarkozy wins or not, but Bernard Arnault Bernard Thibault and Francois Chereque, insists this white knight of the Finance Committee. It is not known how many permanent, by whom they are paid or how the detachments. The member cites the figure of 600 employees seconded to the station."Is it still corresponds to a need for the company when it is struggling to finance infrastructure?" Asks the member hoping to complete its investigation in spring 2012.

Nicolas Perruchot answers on video:

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May 23 2011

The battle to head the IMF opens

Tag: economy, news, special, technology, worldadmin @ 8:32 am

Not yet a candidate, Christine Lagarde was already the favorite to succeed Dominique Strauss-Kahn to IMF management, but two rivals have already expressed. Mexico will formally nominate Agustin Carstens, Governor of the Mexican central bank, said Sunday the Minister of Finance of Mexico. He "has the capabilities and qualifications to lead an institution of the importance of the International Monetary Fund," he said. Governor of the Bank of Mexico since January 2010, Agustin Carstens has been deputy director general of the IMF from 2003 to 2006.

Moreover, the Belgian Finance Minister, in office since 1999, Didier Reynders, said Sunday also be "of course" interested in the job. "These are functions that do not refuse," he added. But Europeans seem more a united front around the candidacy of the French Minister of Finance.This weekend, his candidacy has received the support of Germany and the United Kingdom. The Congo would also like to see take the job.

In France, Martine Aubry said yesterday that the appointment of Christine Lagarde at the head of the IMF "would be a very good thing for our country and for Europe." However, Francois Bayrou is against, saying "do not approve economic policy which was followed by France" and lamenting that "Ms. Lagarde was the main actor of the case Tapie.

In a joint statement, Australia and South Africa have called Sunday a nomination on merit, not nationality.A position shared by the representative of Switzerland to the IMF.

After the resignation of IMF Managing Director, accused of attempted rape by the American courts, nominations for his successor will be officially opened on Monday, and until June 10

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May 17 2011

Brussels Dexia gives pressure

Tag: news, people, resources, special, top newsadmin @ 3:16 am

When the European Commission is not happy, she indicated in a letter. According to sources, the States Dexia shareholders received one of these missives comminatory few weeks ago. Since then, the Franco-Belgian bank is boiling. The summits have intensified last week. A strategic committee of the board of directors was held on Monday, the eve of a plenary session where the accounts have been arrested in the first quarter. Reportedly, Pierre Mariani, Dexia's managing director, has called for an acceleration of sales of the group, the risk of large losses.

The European Commission accuses Dexia does not respect the roadmap that it had agreed lip service in February 2010, in consideration of state aid received in 2008. Brussels gives go to Dexia in June to come into compliance.The ultimatum is serious: the Commission has in its hands a "nuclear weapon" which would jeopardize state aid … His criticisms affect the balance of Dexia's balance sheet and profitability of own funds on certain transactions below target. "The Commission's complaints are very technical. But the tone makes it clear that the Commission wants a fight because she never believed in Dexia's business model, "recalls a close case.

Faced with this pressure, Pierre Mariani offers to settle permanently in the past. His plan: sell bulk whole sections of the 138 billion euros of assets under management now in extinction. In political terms, this would allow him to get out once and for all that power relationship with the Permanent Commission. Financially, the arbitration is to anticipate future losses and thus save carrying costs story boost future profitability.The Franco-Belgian bank can afford. It has, in fact, a thick mattress capital drives, with a ratio of 13.4%.

No recapitalization

The bank would therefore not need recapitalization whatever the magnitude of the purge restraint. Until then, sales of portfolio inherited from the past were carried out over the water, almost no impairment. But the debt crisis is not helping European Dexia. The bank just to give Crediop Sabadell and its subsidiaries specialized in the financing of local authorities in Italy and Spain.

Go faster? Reflection is ongoing. New decisive meetings are scheduled in two weeks. The acceleration advocated by Pierre Mariani may please the market, but it has a price.According to preliminary calculations, among many possibilities mentioned, the most radical scenario would result in a potential loss of 2 to 3,000,000,000 euros in 2011. The bitter pill for shareholders of Dexia, the Deposit and the state on the French side, Arco, and other Ethias Holding Communal Belgian side, who had subscribed to a capital increase to 9.90 euros per share in October 2008 – it is now worth less than 3.

Monday, Dexia declined to comment on the assumptions and figures, merely stating: "The group will continue to accelerate the financial restructuring while also investing in its franchises." And remember, proof of soundness, that Dexia has generated 280 basis points from Tier One ratio since late 2008.

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May 09 2011

ThyssenKrupp is controversial in Germany

Tag: Uncategorized, economic, finance, people, specialadmin @ 12:32 am

The restructuring announced by giant ThyssenKrupp has obviously taken over the political authorities in Germany. Christian Wulff, German Federal President, showed his annoyance by canceling his visit was to perform Sunday at the site of the new steel giant group in Brazil.

This production unit, located next to Rio de Janeiro is very important for ThyssenKrupp. It cost more than EUR 5 billion, making it the largest investment in its history. In addition, the visit must be conducted by Heinrich Hiesinger, the chairman of ThyssenKrupp. The refusal of Christian Wulff is a setback for the German group.

It is true that the political authorities, which are historically very close to the leaders of the steelmaker, may be concerned by the magnitude of the restructuring announced on Friday morning.ThyssenKrupp will sell or restructure almost a quarter of its turnover, more than 10 billion euros of business. 35,000 jobs are concerned, a little over 177,000 for the whole group.

Diversified industrial group

It's not about job cuts outright, but transfers or outsourcing. Nevertheless, all these activities are not profitable and negative consequences on employment in the future are possible. In addition, ThyssenKrupp executives have said for months that they wanted to improve their credit ratings by agencies. A will rarely compatible with social concerns guaranteed online payday loans.

The announced restructuring will not profoundly change the profile of ThyssenKrupp, which appears more like a diversified industrial group than as a pure steelmaker. In this activity, it occupies today as the twentieth largest in the world.But it is also present in the elevators, with a position of world number three, shipbuilding, automotive and construction of turnkey plants.

The new group's strategy is not to focus solely on the business of steelmaker. The announced measures do in fact only two activities: steel industry and automotive equipment. In this division, three companies, which together 2.2 billion euros in billings, will be transferred while two others, also posting 2.2 billion euros of turnover, will be met, before being eventually sold or find a partner.

The most important movement, however, concerns the branch "stainless steel", that ThyssenKrupp will transform into an independent company. This activity is the leading European, with a turnover of 5.9 billion euros.During the year ended last Sept. 30, it lost 57 million euros. Of the 35,000 people affected by restructuring the steel industry alone employs 11,000 employees. This activity is likely to be observed carefully by German politicians, because the area is known to concentrate in the coming months.


May 05 2011

The ECB program its next rate hike

Tag: resources, special, technology, top news, worldadmin @ 4:44 pm

The Governing Council of the European Central Bank moves Thursday in Helsinki, according to a well-established ritual of holding its twice yearly conclave off the walls. A deliberate manner to meet the "true European". If market economists are virtually unanimous in excluding any change in interest rates on Thursday they expect the president of the ECB provides specific guidance, at its monthly press conference on the strategy it intends to .

He speaks of "extreme vigilance" on inflation, "would signal a rate hike in June," Jonathan Loynes believes, the chief economist of Capital Economics. Jean-Claude Trichet had used the term encoded on March 3. The markets had immediately concluded that the ECB would raise the following month's rate remained unchanged at 1% since May 2009.The promise was actually held on April 7, despite the disasters that had struck the meantime Japan.

A new security crackdown in June is not the assumption of the majority of experts. They recall that during the two previous phases of monetary tightening experienced since its inception in January 1999, the ECB waited three months before continuing its march forward. However, there is no doubt that central bankers in Frankfurt will launch a second strike in the summer, probably in July. "If Trichet had expressed its" extreme vigilance "on March 3, he had risen to 2.3% while its inflation projections for 2011. But the consumer price already showing an increase of 2.8% over the last twelve months and now we are heading towards a figure of 3% over the year.The ECB will have no mood to continue the cylce of rising interest rates, analysis Bruno Cavalier, an economist at Oddo Securities.

Besides the issue of interest rates, Jean-Claude Trichet, speaking on behalf of 23 members of the Governing Council will be asked about the pursuit of so-called "unconventional" monetary policy and purchases of securities State set up in pain May 9, 2010. "President Trichet will continue to indicate without any doubt that the program continues. But since there were no purchases during the past four weeks, it is clear that the ECB is increasingly reluctant to maintain such measures in place when it hardens its conventional political " according to Capital Economics.

The ECB president is sure to renew his opposition to any restructuring of the Greek debt, including the ECB holds a substantial share."Of the 75 billion euro government securities bought, more than half of the paper focuses on Greek, whose market price is currently trading at 57% of their face value (of the 10-year bonds), calculates Bruno Cavalier. This shows the potential magnitude of losses to the ECB about these operations, although its purchases have been made at prices already discounted.


Apr 30 2011

Wall Street in the hesitation

Tag: economics, economy, international, special, top newsadmin @ 1:40 am

At the opening this Friday, the Dow Jones revolves around the balance, 0.15% after clinching a few minutes of trading. The Standard & Poor's 500 does not move at 1361 points while the Nasdaq fold from 0.06% to 2871 points.

Household consumption to menu

After finishing up the day, Wall Street reacted little to the various macroeconomic indicators on the agenda Friday. Household consumption has caught up. According to the U.S. Commerce Department, spending rose 0.6%, the ninth consecutive month of increase, after rising 0.9% in February (revised from 0.7%).

Inflation accelerated for the fourth straight month the U.S., according to the price index associated with household consumption expenditure (PCE), released Friday in Washington.It reached 1.8% yoy, while she was still only 1.0% in November

At 15h45, should be released Chicago PMI index, indicative of economic activity in the region in April, then at 15:55, the second estimate of the index of consumer confidence in April, awarded by the University of Michigan.

Merck, Chevron and Caterpillar publish their results

On the corporate side, Chevron (-0.84% ​​to 107.90 U.S. dollars) has published better than expected results in the first quarter. Net income group share was up 36% year on year to 6.2 billion dollars in the first quarter no fax payday loans.

The manufacturers of construction equipment Caterpillar (2.37% to 115.33 dollars) has issued an earnings per share up 411% at 1.84 dollar. The turnover at 12.949 billion dollars, increased by 57%. The group revised its forecast for 2011 up.It expects sales of between 52 and 54 billion dollars against 50 billion previously.

Goodyear (9.92% to 17.81 dollars) on Friday issued a first quarter earnings four times higher than Wall Street expectations, thanks to strong demand.

Merck (+0.14% to 35.82 dollars) announced a net profit in the first quarter more than tripled over the same period last year, which was impacted by costs of merger with Schering Plough. It amounts to $ 1.04 billion. The pharmaceutical group has slightly raised its annual forecast.

The groupeMicrosoft (-2.06% to 26.16 dollars) is very guarded, after publication, on Thursday after the market close, with net income up 31% to 5.23 billion for the third quarter shifted its fiscal year.A performance that does not stop him being left behind parApple (0.79% to 349.50 dollars). Based on the number of shares and excluding special items, earnings amounts to 61 cents, above the 56 cents expected by analysts. The turnover shown up 10% to 16.43 billion, despite the climate of "mixed" for the PC market.


Apr 22 2011

Alstom, coal is also an energy future

Tag: business, economics, resources, special, technologyadmin @ 11:28 am

History may repeat itself. While coal seems to belong to our industrial past, this energy source could again be used to power our electricity needs. Philippe Joubert, president of Alstom Power believes that the development of this fuel, better used and combined with CO2 capture technologies could contribute more to cover the energy needs of the planet and especially in Asia.

lefigaro.fr – You have created a joint venture with Shanghai Electric in the areas of boilers for coal-fired power plants, creating the market leader. Bet you on development of coal power plants?

Philippe Joubert – Coal-fired energy efficiency and environmental recognition are booming, particularly in Asia.However, I have a vision for long-term market and I believe that all technology is integral to the balance of the world. Nuclear, solar, hydropower, coal plants … there is no quick fix. All technologies are needed to produce electricity.

The coal could they not benefit from the current debate raised by the accident at the plant in Fukushima? Several countries, like Germany, have expressed their willingness to abandon nuclear …

Today we actually build many coal plants and gas. An evolution of the global energy mix is ​​thus expected. However, we favor a diversification of energy sources.

And we must relativize the importance of nuclear energy market.This energy source is ultimately less than 10% of all energy produced in the world and is contested in countries where this energy is not a majority in the energy mix. For example, the German market represents less than 21 gigawatts of nuclear energy cons 392 gigawatts for the global market. For example, countries dependent on nuclear power, as the U.S. and France respectively produce about 100 gigawatts and 70 gigawatts.

Coal will remain there a piece of the global energy mix?

Over 40% of the electricity produced in the world based on coal fast cash advance. Asia currently consumes almost 80% of world coal production. But the real issue today is how the emerging cover their soaring energy needs, where those of the United States or Europe have low growth.Development of coal power plants seems to agenda.

Coal plants are very emitting CO2. Can we thus generate electricity without CO2?

We can produce electricity from coal without emitting CO2. But the latest plants can significantly reduce these emissions. In parallel, we develop carbon capture and storage of CO2 (CCS). This is to recover the CO2 and storing it underground (in underground cavities emptied during gas extraction, ed.) The cost of electricity through a coal power plant equipped with this device is however still much higher than a conventional plant. But we are at the beginning of this new technology.

Mined since the eleventh century, coal still has reservations

Coal is the fuel of superlatives.Mined since the eleventh century, it is one of the oldest energy sources. And even today it remains the most widely used fossil fuel in the world: it can produce more than 40% of worldwide electricity. Many countries, primarily the emerging countries, still use it as a primary energy source like South Africa, China, Australia or Poland. Moreover, world coal reserves are found in many countries, no less than 70. The main reserves are in the United States, Russia, China and India. They are estimated at over 984 billion tons. Thus, if consumption is maintained in the state, known coal reserves could last for nearly two centuries, so an oil shortage looming for 2050.

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Apr 13 2011

Economy: The Suggestion Box iconoclasts of Nicolas Hulot

Tag: features, money, news, opinions, specialadmin @ 2:24 pm

Nicolas Hulot, who had to declare candidacy for president on Wednesday morning that the economy is disconnected from reality. "I try to ask again and again the question of an economic model compatible with the physical reality of the world," he declared last December. The standard is not abundance but scarcity ", contrary to prevailing economic theories.

Created 20 years ago, Hulot Foundation for Nature and Man published in recent years of economic policy recommendations. The rhetoric to concrete action, these works are now a genuine box idea for an environmentalist candidate.

The instigators. Nicolas Hulot likes to say he knows nothing about economics. This is less true.He has surrounded himself in recent years of senior economists, like Patrick Criqui, an expert in the fight against climate change, or the founders of the consulting firm Carbone 4, Jean-Marc Jancovici and Alain Grandjean, advocates of "development sustainable. " Last December, he sent to Paris for a conference Tim Jackson, a British economist reference advocating a reduction in consumption.

"Desecrate GDP". "An infinite growth in a finite world is hopeless: there must be a fool or an economist to believe it," said Nicolas Hulot last December at a conference, paraphrasing the economist Kenneth Boulding. We must therefore evaluate the progress that otherwise simply by gross domestic product (GDP), which measures the creation of wealth by a country. Hulot Foundation for enthusiastic and alternative economic indicators, such as carbon footprint, or welfare.And welcomes the passage Stiglitz report commissioned by Nicolas Sarkozy on the measurement of social progress.

A large loan to finance "green economy". Education, training and research, "clean technology" energy saving … Hulot Foundation has calculated that France needs to invest 600 billion euros by 2020 in sustainable development. To avoid digging all the public debt, the state must borrow from the European Central Bank "to zero or very low." Economists of the NGO out the measurement in a technical appendix of 20 pages. Nearly 100 billion euros should be invested for example in the construction of 500,000 new homes, advocates the foundation.

Radical reform of taxation. Staunch defender of the carbon tax, Nicolas Hulot has apparently failed to disarm it.Its foundation therefore recommends to "pay more in energy consumption and reduce taxes on labor." Through the establishment of a climate energy "tax on energy consumption enterprises, governments and households," says the foundation in a document dated June 2009. This tax would be offset by a universal allowance climate for smaller households and less polluting.

Clamp finance. Hulot Foundation believes that "limiting the ability of banks to finance operations without social interest" in limiting the borrowing capacity of investors who speculate. It proposes to limit operations to leverage and lead the hunt for tax havens.

The finances of Nicolas Hulot

The presenter of the show Ushuaia is not paid 33,000 euros per year TF1 for the realization of 4 issues per year, as the chained duck. It would double the salary with royalties brand Ushuaia.

As for the Hulot Foundation for Nature and Man, is funded to the tune of 12% by public funds and 65% 'by a score of donors, including L'Oréal, EDF or Veolia.

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