Oct 05 2011

Crisis: central bank worried

Tag: Uncategorized, economics, economy, opinions, publicationsadmin @ 7:32 am

The CAC 40 lost more than 2% at the close, Wall Street sells more than 1% during the session. The atmosphere is clearly not looking good in the financial markets on Tuesday. The bosses of U.S. and European central banks did nothing to calm them.

Two days before his last conference as president of the ECB, Jean-Claude Trichet is pessimistic for the euro area. "We believe that the euro area will be very moderate in the second half," said one who will be replaced by Mario Draghi on November 1. As for inflation, he said that the rate should remain "above 2% in the coming months. Next year, it should fall below. " These are all signs that suggest that interest rates should remain unchanged Thursday.

As for the United States, the head of the central bank, Ben Bernanke is more optimistic."Recent indicators, including those of new jobless claims show that it is likely that the sluggish growth in employment continues in the coming period," he warned. Before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, the Fed chairman has urged politicians to "avoid taking fiscal measures may impede the ongoing economic recovery business


Sep 19 2011

Qatar is keen interest in EADS

Tag: Uncategorized, life, opinions, resources, top newsadmin @ 8:32 am

The great upheaval associated with the release of Daimler and Lagardère of EADS is imminent? The first holds 15% stake in the group and the second 7.5%. The State of Qatar would be entered into negotiations with the German government to buy half of the 15% stake in EADS held by Daimler, according to the weekly Der Spiegel. According to the paper, the Minister of Economy, Philipp Rösler, reportedly received two weeks ago members of the government of Qatar. Sunday, across the Rhine, no one has denied the report: the spokesman of the German said he could not comment on ongoing negotiations.


Sep 08 2011

The Fed gives the air on Wall Street

Tag: economy, events, features, opinions, worldadmin @ 4:08 pm

The U.S. stock markets are given a little air on Wednesday. The Dow Jones closed up 2.44% to 11,410.78 points, the Nasdaq climbed 3.03% to 2548.94 points and the S & P 500 is 2.86% to 1198.58 points.

United States: 300 billion dollars for the job?

On Wednesday, the U.S. central bank acknowledged that the economy continues to grow. Thursday, U.S. President, Barack Obama must speak to announce a new stimulus package. Bloomberg and CNN, Bush is expected to announce Thursday the release of 300 billion dollars (about 213 billion euros) for employment.

Oil prices have, for them, increased sharply, supported by the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico, the sudden force of scholarship and a report from the Fed positive for U.S. growth.The group is now looking for a new boss to find the way of immediate croissance.Dans, Timothy Morse, Chief Financial Officer since July 2009, temporarily taking the reins of the web portal.

All Nippon Airways (7.84% to 6.60 dollars) expects to receive the last of the 55 aircraft ordered 787 Dreamliners from Boeing by 2018, said the president of the largest airline.ANA, which will be the first customer for Boeing to fly the aircraft, will receive the first copy of 787 on Sept. 25 and anticipates delivery of 20 additional Dreamliners by March 2013.

Bank of America (6.87% to 7.47 dollars), experiencing significant challenges, announced Tuesday a reorganization of its management team with the appointment of two new operational directors, David Darnell and Tom Montag, from the ranks of the bank payday advance.

Note also a major shareholder of the Canadian Research in Motion (RIM) (+3% to 31.90 dollars), the maker of BlackBerry smartphones, listed on Wall Street, on Tuesday called the "transformations" in the major group if it goes on sale, to tone the decline in value of its title.

The oil company Chevron (3.84% to 99.28 dollars) announced the discovery of oil during a drill in the Gulf of Mexico, offshore Louisiana (southern U.S.).

Altera (0.92% to 35.18 dollars) announced that it expected a sales growth of 2% -3% in the third quarter, against an increase of 2% to 6% previously due to lower demand.

For his part, Darden Restaurants (-3.57% to 44.53 dollars) expects sales growth of 6.5% to 7.5% over the year and an EPS growth of 12%.In addition, the company wants to make stock repurchases for 400 to 500 million dollars this year against 300-400 million previously announced.

The American expert group purchases online Groupon, who announced in June its intention to go public, "reassess the timing" of this operation and has canceled a tour dedicated to the promotion of its future trading, reports the Wall Street Tuesday Journal.


Sep 07 2011

Further decline in the CAC 40, the lowest

Tag: economic, finance, international, money, opinionsadmin @ 12:12 am

The CAC 40 continues its slow descent into hell. The stock market, which recorded a third consecutive session ended with a downward decrease of 1.13% to 2965.64 points, its lowest close of the year. It should even go back in spring 2009 to find such levels.

Moreover, stock markets are all in red with the exception of London (1.06%) and Zurich (4.02%). But the DAX in Frankfurt still loose 1.04% and 2.06% Milan.

Greece again centralizes all fears since the country's authorities and inspectors of the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank, have suspended talks to ten days. The two parties disagree on the reasons and extent of delays by Athens in reducing its budget deficit. This situation endangers the second rescue plan concocted by the European Union.Some analysts believe even now that the plan was stillborn. "Greece has already slipped over new deficit targets," said Bruno Cavalier, as well, an economist at Oddo Securities.

Nervousness is also high, whereas the German Constitutional Court will make its decision Wednesday on the highly anticipated aid granted by Greece to Berlin and the establishment of a European emergency fund. Germany is the main creditor of Greece in the eurozone.

"It's a stampede"

Also in the issue of debt in the euro zone, Italy is suffering from a new crisis of confidence while accumulating doubts on its ability to curb its deficit despite the adoption of an austerity plan this summer.Finally, union sources said yesterday that the Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero had recognized mid-August, the markets in crisis, that Spain was close to a "rescue" needed.

"It's the stampede, the free fall. Trust is the innermost and nobody does anything to reassure, "commented Xavier Villepion, sales of shares in Global Equities. "Investors have no reason now to invest in the equity markets," he says. "We are in a dynamic market similar to that of the fall of 2008, when prevailing psychosis triggered by the subprime crisis," said Patrick Jacq, bond strategist at BNP Paribas."Everybody goes in the same direction and fled to the German long-term bonds," he said.

"No recession in the U.S."

These problems of sovereign debt in addition to fears of a global recession while the health of U.S. economic worries. In this regard, World Bank President Robert Zoellick said on Tuesday that the United States was not threatened by a return to recession. "I do not think the United States and the world will fall into recession," he said direct payday lenders.

Societe Generale and Credit Agricole to the lowest since 2009

Bank stocks were again the most attacked: BNP Paribas lost 5.24% to 29.66 euros, Crédit Agricole, 4.72% to 5.56 euros and Societe Generale, 6.54% to 18.92 euros.

Audika: + 1.56% to 16.30 euros

The group released a net profit up 17.2% to 4.8 million in the first half, Audika has benefited from financial instruments, whose contribution represents about 400,000 euros.

Medica: 2.54% to 12.50 euros

Medica said it had seven times its first-half profits to 20.7 million euros and raised its annual growth target of the activity of 15% to 17%.

NYSE Euronext: -1.68% to 17.80 euros

The group announced a return to continuous trading, as of Thursday, September 8, a series of indicators of the Paris Bourse, the SBF 120, which was suspended on August 8 for technical reasons.

Casino: -1.66% to 54.36 euros

The retailer Almacenes Exito Colombia, 54.8% owned by the French group, has launched a capital increase of $ 1.4 billion (one billion) unveiled in late June.

Paris airport: -0.38% to 55.29 euros

A consortium that includes ADP is one of the groups pre-qualified to take over the airports of Madrid and Barcelona, ​​said Monday the Spanish airport authority AENA.

Lagardère: 0.03% to 19.30 euros

Arnaud Lagardere said the media group is considering a share buyback or payment of a dividend with the proceeds of the sale of the international magazine division.In an interview published Tuesday by the newspaper Les Echos, he also said that the withdrawal of the group of EADS will not happen until the release of the Airbus A350, the future long-haul European aircraft manufacturers.

Air France-KLM: + 0.79% to 6.14 euros

The group wants to save 700 to 800 million euros in additional savings and will also scale back its flight schedule.

GDF Suez: -2.07% to 19.63 euros

The newspaper Les Echos, there will be no increase in gas rates for individuals on 1 October, the Regulatory Commission (CRE) does not provide a complete analysis of the tariff before the end of September.

Séché: -9.65% to 42.45 euros

The company said it was reviewing its goal of decreasing operating income (ROC) for 2011, it now expected around the level reached in 2010 after falling 2.7% in the first half.

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Sep 03 2011

Stade Lille: financial uncertainties caused by delays

Tag: economics, economy, international, life, opinionsadmin @ 3:08 pm

After the strikes, the seismic risk. The difficulties accumulate in building long-awaited Grand Stade Lille. Started in September 2010, work could take longer than expected, due to a change in the classification of the site northerner on the scale of seismic standards. Since the entry into force on 1 May new standards of seismic hazard of the site hosting the future stadium is indeed changed from "no" to "low".

What put a little more at risk delivery, planned for July 2012, the sports arena of 50,300 seats (against about 17,000 for the current Stadium north of Villeneuve d'Ascq). Peter Berger, the executive director of Eiffage, the construction group in charge of construction of the building, has even called him on Thursday of "non-zero" probability that the works are delayed.Concern, as the club relied on Yankee start next season in its new enclosure.

Delays are common

"Overall, the case of clubs, a stadium delivered on time is a rare occurrence, says Michel Desbordes, a sports marketing specialist and author of neo-sports marketing. Apart from international competitions, where the issues of image of a country are important, it is very common that a project is continually delayed. Even Olympique Lyonnais (OL), whose business model is currently considered the most effective, has difficulties in advancing the Stadium of Light. "

For France champion football title, the expected financial impact of this new project could be delayed."Arsenal, whose business model is comparable to the LOSC, saw its sales jump 58% in the year of commissioning of its new stadium, the Emirates Stadium during the 2006/2007 season "Michel Desbordes analysis. Extrapolating this example to the club Lille, LOSC could see its sales jump by over 37 million, compared to the estimated budget of 75 million euros for the 2012/2013 season. It would be similar and even more of the OL and its 160 million annual budget.

Less attractive media

The delays do not affect these numbers, especially as the additional time construction should be limited to a few weeks totally free credit score. But "it would deprive the Losc its new stadium for a season, warns Michel Desbordes.Although the Grand Stade Lille Métropole was delivered in December 2012, it could not be put into service before the next season or in 2013/2014. " In addition to the shortfall in terms of ticketing, LOSC would be so deprived for a few more months of additional revenue related to greater media exposure. However, this parameter now weighs about a third of the money collected by the clubs under the TV rights. According to the blog dedicated FootBiz, they would have amounted to 42.5 million euros for the champion of France for the 2010/2011 season.

Moreover, competitive sports club could be undermined, some players have taken into account in their decision to remain at the club northerner, the prospect of work in a stage art and visibility.

In addition to these issues difficult to quantify financial benefits, harm the most accurate for the club remains the additional invoice from new technical requirements. According to information Chained Duck, the additional cost compared to 324 million euros expected, would reach nearly 100 million euros.

From this point of view, Eiffage and the urban community of Lille Métropole pass the buck, saying it is not their responsibility to support the financial consequences of a decision state. The construction group, however, should think twice to avoid blocking the progress of work in such a status quo could result. Last June, the Polish city of Bialystok has decided unilaterally to break a contract for close to 40 million euros to build a football stadium, citing delays too great. Eiffage challenging a decision.

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Aug 16 2011

Crisis: the common front Sarkozy-Merkel

Tag: Uncategorized, business, news, online, opinionsadmin @ 1:20 am

A day back in the middle of August. Nicolas Sarkozy will be in Paris today for lunch with François Fillon, then to meet with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, herself back from vacation.

At a time when the euro area is attacked, France and Germany are trying to show a united front and show their determination to end the crisis. The mini-summit will be devoted to devising solutions to improve the governance of the euro area, which concern failures in financial markets. Although not conclusive a priori – "do not expect anything spectacular," said a spokesman yesterday the German government – the meeting should enable the two leaders to lay the groundwork for the future.

Sensitivity of the issue Eurobonds will however not address, contrary to the hopes markets.Berlin's opposition to the creation of common obligations to countries in the euro area has long been known. The Merkel government has good reason to be against: issued in the name of all countries, eurobonds have an interest rate equal to the average rate in effect in all countries. It would therefore be higher than that which currently takes Berlin. Until now, France is merely to show little enthusiasm for these Eurobonds.

Yesterday, Paris is out of the woods to show his unity with his partner. "The Euro-bonds are not an adequate response today. Common issue bonds requires a degree of economic integration and budgetary countries that we have not met, "says one as president fast cash. Paris joins Berlin on another "nyet" to increase the capacity of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), now with 440 billion euros."The level of funding is appropriate," they say at the Elysee.

Hours before his meeting with Angela Merkel, Nicolas Sarkozy has discussed with Francois Fillon and French public finances. Lead to disappointing growth, the government has no choice: even a few months before the elections, it must take further austerity measures. France, which is followed closely by the markets, absolutely must bring its deficit to 4.6% of GDP in 2012.

Niche in their sights

To achieve this, taking into account a sluggish economy, the figure of 10 billion euros of savings is often cited. But do not confirm Bercy. In the entourage of Valérie Pécresse, the budget minister, it says only that "these savings are the result of efforts on spending cuts and tax loopholes."Last week, he had urged his counterparts from the euro area to take all necessary measures, including the creation of Euro-bonds, to avoid disintegration of the single currency "that would be an economic catastrophe, including for the United Kingdom ".

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Aug 12 2011

The Paris Bourse is looking for a trend

Tag: economic, online, opinions, resources, top newsadmin @ 7:00 pm

European stock exchanges succeed they continue their rebound started the day before? Nothing is less certain on Friday morning, when the index in Paris fell into the red immediately after opening up 0.17%. Ten minutes after the opening, the Paris index yields 1.59% to 3040.59 points. Frankfurt and London have opened in the red: the Dax yield 0.64% to 5760.41 points and the FTSE-100 lost 0.70% to 5126.81 points.

Thursday, ACC closed up 2.59% to 3089.66 points, after falling in mid-session. The day before, he had plunged more than 5%.The same volatility dominates in Frankfurt the Dax closed Thursday up 3.28% and in London where the FTSE-100 index gained 3.11%.

Investors should prove once again nervous at the end of a week marked by extreme market volatility, which saw the CAC 40 push the psychological threshold of 3000 points during trading Thursday before returning to the colors. Investors were reassured by the announcement of a meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on August 16 to issue joint proposals on the governance of the euro area. In addition, U.S. markets were supported by two good indicators of the jobless and real estate. Wall Street has ended sharply higher: the Dow Jones has gained 4% and the Nasdaq 4.69%.

Despite the ban on short selling in the securities of eleven banks and insurance companies to counter the extreme volatility of the stock market values. Still, banking stocks are still abused in the image of BNP Paribas, which issued a statement Thursday night to reaffirm the strength of its capital, Societe Generale and Credit Agricole.

No growth in the second quarter

On the macroeconomic front, INSEE reported this morning from zero growth in the second quarter in France (0 saving account payday loan.0%), against an increase of 0.9% in the first quarter. Inflation also slowed: the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July, resulting in an increase of 1.9% over the year (against 2.1% from June 2010 to June 2011 ).

Oil is, meanwhile, resumed its decline in trade in Asia, having recovered Thursday in the United States.In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" lost 47 cents to 85.25 dollars and that of Brent North Sea fell by 57 cents to 107.45 dollars.

Other values ​​to follow, Carrefour pulls out of the game: the title ahead of 3.32% to 18.53 euros. U.S. giant Wal-Mart have mandated UBS to investigate the acquisition of the Brazilian subsidiary of French retailer, according to Reuters, citing a source familiar with the matter.

Goldman Sachs lowered its recommendation on Lafarge (-0.62% to 28,835 euros) and withdrew the title from its list of recommended values ​​in priority to the purchase.The intermediary has instead built his list to Saint-Gobain (0.55% to 32.975 euros) and Vinci (-0.30% to 34.36 euros).

Europacorp (0.63% to 3.22 euros), the production company of Luc Besson, Thursday reaffirmed its goal of a return to balance for the current year, despite a sharp decline its turnover in the first quarter.

Derichebourg (-1.05% to 3.489 euros) Thursday confirmed its target of improving its annual net income, after recording a sharp increase in sales over the first nine months of the year.

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Aug 01 2011

The impact of relocation on employment remains marginal

Tag: economic, money, opinions, publications, worldadmin @ 11:12 pm

The French plébiscitent increasing the "Made in France" and it has not escaped the business. A craze that falls well: rising transportation costs and wage inflation from 15% to 20% in some coastal factories in China are converging today to encourage repatriation of some production lines to France and Europe. But if some companies are beginning to consider such a policy change, few are still those who skip it.

"There is clearly more interesting now than to relocate whole or in part," says Jean-Luc Fonteneau, a partner in the consulting firm Diagma logistics. "But do not mistake: these factors on their own are not sufficient to stimulate a significant movement of relocations. For now, our customers are content to talk about it.The cost differential is still largely in favor of Asia, "said he.

Geneviève Lethu, Rossignol, Decathlon or Meccano, who chose to relocate all or part of their production in recent years, rather figures are therefore exceptions. Geneviève Lethu for example, production costs remain two to three times higher in France than in Southeast Asia, says Edmond Kassapian, its CEO. The company has nevertheless chosen to relocation, mainly to improve the quality of its products.

In this context, the rise in commodity prices and wage inflation in recent months weigh little. "In textiles, for example, transportation is only 5% to 10% of the production cost of an item.As for wage increases, even if the percentages are impressive, they represent less than 3% of payroll French, "Jean-Luc Fonteneau calculated. Some companies also try to compensate by shifting their production to Vietnam …, the consultant observed.

Automation

The figures confirm this analysis. According to a recent study by two economists at the University of Poitiers, Liliane Bonnal Olivier Bouba-Olga and the relocations to France remain marginal effect cash advance now. Based on data reported by the Centre for Investment in 2008 and 2009, economists have identified all the operations of investment and divestment activity in France. Relocations represent only 0.3% of these operations, 24 cases in two years.In total, they recorded a relocation to six relocations, and a job created for 30 jobs lost because of offshoring. "Only 500 jobs were created in two years because of relocations," says Olivier Bouba-Olga.

Because they "do not result in any case not by major job creation," said El Mouhoub Mouhoud, an economist at Paris Dauphine University and author of "Globalization and offshoring of business" by Editions la Découverte. In most cases, they are indeed driven by companies that have chosen to automate their production. "So that the jobs lost in Southeast Asia and elsewhere are almost never compensated in France," the judge economist.

The marginal nature of the relocation is also reflected in the lack of excitement generated by government schemes to encourage them."The tax credit for relocating business established in 2007 has hardly ever been used," says El Mouhoub Mouhoud. As for the relocation bonus, with a budget of 200 million euros and announced with great fanfare in the aftermath of the States General of Industry, it is simply more. "The premium has been recast in within a broader, that of using the re-industrialization," says one to the Ministry of Industry. The latter has only 20 million euros. If "the world's factory" that is China is losing some ground, France did for the moment that gets a few scraps.

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Jul 21 2011

The Paris Bourse is expected to remain up

Tag: money, opinions, people, technology, top newsadmin @ 6:16 am

The 3700 points in the viewfinder will be investors in the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. Yesterday, the Paris has managed to recover, ending on a rise of 1.21% to 3694 points. Operators should be encouraged by the good performance of U.S. markets, driven by advances in parliamentary negotiations in the United States for raising the ceiling on the debt. President Barack Obama for the first time reported "progress" in this debate, adding that the new Senate plan, presented Tuesday, was "consistent" in its approach. The Chairman stressed however that "not much time" before the deadline of August 2 to avoid a default. Wall Street was also good indicators for rasurée and industrial results better than expected.Asian markets were also sending positive signals this morning.

Time, however, should still be prudent on the eve of a crucial European summit for the future of the euro area. The heads of state are to meet Thursday in Brussels to discuss the bailout of Greece. Several proposals for involving the private sector are on the table.

In addition to this news, investors will learn in sales of existing homes and oil stocks in the United States. On the currency side, the euro is still down slightly against the greenback at 1.4139 dollar.Oil is, him up: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August takes 80 cents to 98.30 dollars and that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery gained 69 cents to 117.75 dollars .

Values ​​to follow

Havas

The advertising group has announced the acquisition of a majority stake in the Australian Host, the first independent agency of the country, for an undisclosed sum.

Saffron

Tuesday the group received the green light from Washington for the purchase of American specialist of biometrics L-1 Identity Solutions. The agreement was announced last September for $ 1.1 billion in cash.

Laurent-Perrier

The group announced Wednesday an increase of 11.5% of its turnover in the first quarter thanks to a mix effect prices soaring and exports still strong.

Accor

The group was optimistic Tuesday in announcing an acceleration of organic growth in the second quarter due to increased occupancy rates and the gradual recovery of prices.

ADP

The group announced a 4.6% increase in passenger traffic at its airports in June, driven by growth across all trajectories with the exception of Africa and the Middle East.

PPR

Fnac, a subsidiary of luxury group, unveiled Tuesday a five-year strategic plan, called "Fnac 2015", which should enable it to boost sales after a disappointing performance.

EADS

Boeing, seeking to rescue a potentially very large contract with American Airlines, has offered to install a new engine on the current 737, while the airline is still considering a generous offer to Airbus. Moreover, the French military shipbuilder DCNS said Wednesday negotiate with the German Atlas Electronik the creation of a joint venture between their respective activities of underwater weapons, confirming a report in Les Echos. Atlas Elektronik is owned by EADS and ThyssenKrupp.

Biomerieux

The group announced the acquisition of French company Argene Molecular Biology and confirmed the objective of growth of its business year after an increase of 3.5% of its turnover in the first half of 2011.

Sanofi-Aventis

The Canadian Valeant Pharmaceuticals announced yesterday the signing of an agreement to buy the French laboratory marketing rights and distribution in Canada of a cream against osteoarthritis.

Manitou

The group raised its forecast Tuesday for 2011 after signing up 45% of its turnover in the first half despite the continuing difficulties of supply.

Always on the side of publications, sales of the first quarter of Alstom and the second quarter of Medica are expected before the market opens.After market, Unibail will present its second quarter results and Ubisoft will announce its earnings for the first quarter 2011-2012.


Jul 18 2011

Geneviève Lethu enhances quality French

Tag: economy, events, opinions, resources, worldadmin @ 12:36 pm

Today, Genevieve Lethu almost a pioneer. It's been almost ten years since the specialist tableware decided to repatriate most of its production in France. The group did not wait for the rising costs of transportation and wage inflation that affects a part of Asia to relocate its production in France and Europe. While 40% are still manufactured in Southeast Asia in 2002, this proportion has now dropped to 9%. Aim of the operation to improve the quality of its products.

According to Edmond Kassapian CEO Genevieve Lethu and origin of this strategy, the manufacturing conditions in emerging markets were no longer satisfactory. "We see a lot of flaws too: for example, the colors were sometimes not good.Moreover, China does not always meet the hygiene standards required by the manufacture of kitchen utensils, "said he. Three or four people were paid full-time, just for the after sales service. Manufacturing defects that the company, positioned on a medium-high-end, could not pass up. With a significant portion of its customers for export, being a French brand was not selling enough. "Our customers are demanding products made in France, not South-East Asia," said Edmond Kassapian.

Especially these failures were added to other problems. "Our own suppliers copied our collections to sell at lower prices," recalls the CEO. Occur in Asia also means longer production lead times, which complicate inventory management.In addition to transport by ship, which takes about two months, the status of "world factory" in China in some areas it is a work organization to lean. In this context, start or restart a production cycle requires a waiting period of up to six to eight months.

Model difficult to transpose

By bringing back most of its production in France, Geveniève Lethu won as responsiveness and quality. But this shedding was not built without problems. "Finding plants in France and Europe that can ensure our production has not been an easy task. Invest in tools, machinery was necessary. The repatriation was ultimately effective only from 2004-2005, "said Edmond Kassapian.Despite the cost of transportation and the "huge mess" deplored by the specialist tableware of its products made in China, produced in France is generally two to three times more expensive.

Why the model Genevieve Lethu is not easily transferable. "Some activities simply can not be relocated. Products requiring significant labor to manufacture or those who stand out from the competition will cost products in Asian countries. Our relocation was only possible because we are positioning ourselves in the middle and high end because the argument made in France for us was a selling point, "Edmond analysis Kassapian.

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