International Headlines and Stories

EADS, the European manufacturer announced in a news release its second quarter as a significant decline in profits. With effect from April to June, the result came back 208 million euros to 82 million. At the same time, the turnover was little changed at 11.35 billion (11.73 billion for the same period last year). Over the half, earnings were 185 million against 378 million in billings from 20.308 billion. Reduced to an action, the benefit is 0.23 cents (0.47 cents to end June 2009).

Despite the marked decrease in profits, the group has revised its targets upwards for the whole year. It now expects over 44 billion ors billings. The group also announced a production rate of the A320 increased to 40 per month.

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Closing reassuring Wall Street yesterday gave a positive impetus for the Paris Stock Exchange on Tuesday, which has increased its earnings to grow by 1.57% enséance before reducing them after a disappointing statistic across the Atlantic on the U.S. consumer confidence in July.

At the final bell, the CAC 40 is 0.83% at 3666.4 points and preserves the points.Un 3660 this threshold had not been touched since June 22 last. Elsewhere in Europe, the London Stock Exchange closed up 0.27% to 5365.67 points.

French markets were again worn by banking shares. Yesterday, the shares had already boosted the index, in response to the publication of results of stress tests on Friday.On Tuesday, they went into high gear, including Societe Generale climbed 10.59% to 44.22 euros, Credit Agricole, which has soared 10.14% to 10.62 euros and Dexia, which has rose 7.32% to 3.87 euros. Axa and BNP Paribas follow with respective increases of 6.74% and 5.49%.

After trading, the markets will see the unemployment figures for the month of June in France.

In addition, the Department of Ecology has announced that the number of starts of new homes in France fell 0.3% for the period April-May to June, compared to the same period a year ago, while the number of building permits recorded an increase of 25%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro continues against the greenback.Around 17:30, the euro was trading at just below $ 1.30, but the threshold has been crossed earlier in session.

The U.S. housing close look

Yesterday the key index in Paris managed to keep the threshold of 3600 points despite an early meeting very hesitant. Good numbers of U.S. homes have played an especially comforting to investors. And on Tuesday, rebelote: the Case-Shiller index of home prices meets the individual operators offering. It rose more than expected in May in the United States, +0.5%. The month of May and is the second consecutive monthly increase, a trend that comes after two months of consecutive decline.

But the Conference Board index, published in 16 hours, fell for the second straight month in July, falling to a lowest level since February, to 50.4 in July against 54.3 (revised from 52.9) in JuneAn advertisement that has a little cooled investors.

Publication Burst

On Tuesday, the publications will be honored at the Paris Bourse:

Danone (-4.24% to 44.35 euros) announced before market opening a current net profit in the second quarter of 848 million euros and a turnover of 4.386 billion euros in bad credit payday loans.

Altran (7.79% to 3.25 euros) has reported a turnover of the second quarter 2010 from 357.6 million euros (+2.3%). The group expects a significant improvement in the margin in the second half of 2010.

The Land of the Regions (-0.12% to 72.85 euros) published a recurring net profit increased 1.1% to 153.4 million for its first half, with rents of 264.1 million , up 1.7% at constant scope, and an occupancy rate of 94.4%.However, its net asset value, excluding financial instruments, stood at 73.20 euros per share, down from late 2009 due to the distribution of a special dividend for 2009, consisting of 3 30 euros in cash and six Beni Stabili shares, 52.5% owned subsidiary acquired in 2007

Note that M6 and LVMH will unveil their first-half results after market close. Vinci, Compagnie des Alpes and Fleury Michon publish their turnover for the period also after 17:30.At the same time, Air France KLM (+0.69%) will release first quarter results are.

Sanofi repulsed Klepierre sanctioned

The U.S. biotechnology company Genzyme has rejected a buyout proposal made by Sanofi Aventis (-0.94% to 45.15 euros) according to Bloomberg.

Capgemini (-1.1% to 34.98 euros) has announced the signing of a 6-year contract between its subsidiary Capgemini UK and Royal Mail Group Limited (RMG), the British postal service, for its service management computer.

Klepierre (-2.61% to 25.17 euros), revised down slightly its 2010 targets of recurring cash flow and rents, the prospect of austerity plans in Europe have slowed the recovery of consumption.

Icade (+1.05% at 73.83 euros) on Monday announced a net profit in the first half more than eight times while its net current cash flow per share, affected by the low profitability of its development division, declined 21%.

April Group (-2.88% to 19.76 euros), saw the decline in sales accelerated to 12.9% in the first half. This is explained by the group with a focus on its brokerage business, which should result in a decrease of 25% of the insurance business in 2010.

Finally, Technicolor (10.81% to 0.41 euros), has received a firm offer from the private equity fund Francisco Partners for the acquisition of the "professional broadcast" of Grass Valley.

The honor is safe: Microsoft earns more money Apple. Some were considering a transfer of power between the two giants of American computer but the Apple brand will be a little patient. Of course, Apple is now more expensive than its rival in stock: 235 billion against $ 226 billion for Microsoft. However the latter has finally achieved the title of his fourth-quarter profit of 4.518 billion dollars or 51 cents per share, well above the 46 cents expected by analysts. Apple's side recorded during its third quarter profit of 3.25 billion for a turnover of 15.70 billion savings account payday loans.

In its statement, Microsoft said it has achieved a turnover for the period April to June of 16.04 billion dollars, up 22% thanks to higher sales in all activities. This is a "record"

Over the year, net income appears to 18.760 billion dollars, up 29% and the turnover of 62.484 billion dollars, up 7%.

The group Redmond has definitively turned the page on last year, which had marked the first decline in its business since its inception.

End of season for the radio. It resulted in a further reorganization of the podium radios, according to the poll of 126,000 Radio Médiamétrie for the months of April to June 2010.

Always the first radio station in France, RTL consolidates its position with 12.1% of total audience. It is followed by France Inter stable at 10.3% of total audience. However, NRJ resumed his place on the third step of the podium. Down 0.2 point to 9.8% of total audience, the first musical of France especially took advantage of the fall of a Europe that had expired in November-December 2009.The general group Lagardere lost 0.4 points to 8.7% of total audience.

Among GPs, RMC and France Bleu perform best, earning 0.1 points respectively to 6.8% audience share and 0.4 points to 6.9% of total audience payday advance.

The music stations have also incorporated color on the end of the season that marks the arrival of summer. Skyrock (8.1%), Fun Radio (7.4%), RTL2 (4.8%) and Cherie FM (4.6%) are all up compared to last year.

A performance that indicates a radio market stable at a relatively low every day 80.9% of French people aged 13 and over listen to the radio every day, more than 42.1 million people.

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In an update of its economic growth forecasts published in Hong Kong Thursday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to show more optimism for global economies, with the exception of France and Great Britain. The IMF has lowered its estimate of 0.1 growth in 2010 for both countries relative to expectations in April, until now +1.4% for France and 1.2% for Great Britain. Regarding the euro area, the IMF maintains its forecast for growth of 1%. Conversely, it has raised its projection for global growth in 2010 to 4.6% against 4.2% estimated in April.

The IMF draws attention to the financial sector, less and less stable, due to the rising public debt in many countries. It focuses on the risks as well, which "have greatly increased" since April.The international institution recognizes that "progress toward global financial stability have recently suffered a setback. The risks on the public debt in some part of the eurozone have materialized and extended the financial sector in the region, threatening to spread to other regions and generate a downward spiral again winning the economy. "

Reaction of central banks

In this context, the IMF estimated that some central banks may have to ease these tensions further relaxing its monetary policy. They could be forced to inject new liquidity into the economy. The question is what will be the decisions of the European Central Bank and Bank of England, who must keep their monetary policy meetings in the day. Governments are also urged to take action to support the economy.The International Monetary Fund has renewed its request for implementation of "emergency" plans "medium-term fiscal consolidation pro-growth".

In 2008, Apple became the first distributor of music in the United States, before the giant Wal-Mart and Amazon. The group of Cupertino is preparing to renew the feat in the film industry. According to research firm Screen Digest, Apple became the number one video on demand pay to the United States in 2014, before the two top cable operators in the country, Comcast and Time Warner Cable.

This will be overtaken by Apple at the end of this year. Apple is expected to generate $ 281 million in sales by selling movies online this year against 160 million in revenue for the VOD service from Time Warner Cable. The firm is expected to apple store almost 35 million transactions in 2010 against 30.5 million for the second U.S. cable operator. Still Number One, Comcast will make a turnover of 380 million dollars with 88 million transactions."While the pay-TV players offer to lease the works in DOS, Apple sells movies. The pricing is more beneficial to Apple, "said Dan Cryan, responsible Broadband Media at Screen Digest.

In 2014, the reverse hierarchy: Apple should be leading with 470 million dollars in revenue for 56 million transactions, when Comcast will reach 400 million dollars in sales with 108 million records of tenancy, says Screen Digest. At that time, Apple will control 32% of video market demand pay.

Google TV has a playing card

This leadership position gives Apple the opportunity to influence the price of selling movies for download, as the U.S. group has done in music.Another advantage is the unit sales reported more income to the beneficiaries that the subscription models or lease and therefore the iTunes Store a valuable partner for the studios, which multiply the simultaneous releases in theaters and on video.

If the model for the iTunes Store gives a good lead time to Apple in VOD, it is not certain that the firm with apple foreclosing the movie as it did for digital music. "There was an effect on iPod music because of the integration platform for downloading with the terminal was better, because the iPod allowed to make music where consumers want to have it ie mobility. It is not certain that the iPad plays that role for the film, Dan Cryan analysis. Terminals other than the PC are key to getting consumers to pay for entertainment.But for video, this advantage is less pronounced for the iPad for a TV. This is Google, with its Google TV decoder, which brings Web video into television, has a playing card. "Indeed, the Internet group has not discussed a possible blocking of illegal content which could online access through Google TV. This vagueness could benefit from piracy: "iTunes is selling on average 30 songs per iPod sold, the rest of the music is not purchased it is copied from CD or downloaded illegally. There could have the same effect on Google TV. The party has just begun in the video, "said Dan Cryan.

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The euro rose again on Monday morning against the dollar. It rated 10 hours to 1.2430 dollars, after touching 1.2460, an increase of 4.6% since it started bouncing on June 7 last, when the exchange rate euro / dollar rate was 1.19. A fast pace for the foreign exchange market.

China, usually accused by Western countries to maintain the exchange rate of its currency artificially low, just a surprise. A week before the G20 summit, the Chinese central bank announced the end of two years of indexing the yuan to the dollar. The aim is to gradually revalue its currency in order to regulate the Chinese economy, which is based on thirty years export.

To believe in technical analysis, "a great potential rebound comes." The first significant resistance (level on which the exchange rate risk of stumbling) is 1.27.Above, the parity would take the lead of 1.33. The trend is now positive short-term above 1.19.

Why such an increase?

The reason for this rebound is mainly technical: the euro has fallen too quickly in recent weeks, the currency had to breathe. Indeed, on 1 January, the euro was trading at $ 1.44, and in December 2009, it was worth even $ 1.51. In other words, between the highest and the lowest point reached in early June to 1.19, the euro has fallen more than 21%!

Other mechanical reason of the rise of the euro: the decline of the dollar which causes the exchange rate euro / dollar rising payday loan. But the greenback fell amid indices acclaimed. "Historically, there has always been an inverse relationship between the U.S. equity market and the greenback," said the chief executive of Saxo Bank, Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier.

And since the announcement of China, which paves the way for a separation of the link between the yuan and the dollar, the yuan prances its highest levels since July 2005. The renminbi, another name for the Chinese currency, reported a record on the interbank market at 6.8089 against the dollar. Faced with the rise of the yuan, the dollar fell back automatically.

The trend remains bearish background

In the medium term, despite five times the highest drop since last December, the trend is still fragile.Even if the single currency does not seem too responsive to European concerns on the health of public finances of countries – including Spain rumors, denied – the macroeconomic situation on the continent remains sluggish, between sluggish growth and unemployment Box, accompanied by rigid budgetary policies.

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Markets were waiting impatiently for the pension reform. Legal age to 62 years pushed, extending the contribution period, rising tax burden … how the government's announcement they will be welcomed by the markets and rating agencies? The AAA rating of France, the best, is the subject of any concerns at Bercy. The goal is to maintain "tight", even said Budget Minister Francois Baroin.

Bercy assured, reports Reuters: "The evaluation of this kind of reform can only be positive by the rating agencies." Ministry experts have calculated that the increase in 60-62 years of age of retirement accounts for 1.2 million jobs and four percentage points of GDP over the long term.Moreover, "these reforms contribute to improving the deficit by about 0.5 percentage points of GDP by 2013, according to the entourage of Christine Lagarde.

"Reform is obviously in the right direction, because the current situation is untenable," responded Dominique Barbet, economist at BNP Paribas market IP. Delaying the retirement age to 62 years is applauded Payday Advance No teletrek. "The symbol of the abolition of the 60 years is important, it is easier to move it more later if needed," said Gilles Moec, economist at Deutsche Bank. The pace of transition to 62 years, faster than originally envisaged, was also approved.

If the limit of 63 years has finally been abandoned, "the government's plan is fairly aggressive in the speed of implementation of the device, which should be effective by 2018", says Dominique Barbet."The unions were expecting perhaps a less violent transition, and the rating agencies at a faster passage. The government must allow both. "

Doubts remain. "I'm not sure whether the final reform" asks Gilles Moec. The growth assumptions Guidance Council retreats are indeed optimistic, with an unemployment rate of 4.5% in 2020 for example. "It also depends if employees choose to work longer to get a full pension, or if they prefer to leave earlier."

Finally good news for Airbus and its flagship plane, the A380. The last contract was conducted in January 2009 when Air Austral has ordered two A380 single-class (840 seats eco). Since then … nothing. The contract signed by Emirates giant comes as the program switches from a phase marked by a painful industrial ramp-up phase of maturity and control of industrial processes.

This, ten years after the decision of both industrial policy by France and Germany to launch the A380 as part of the creation of EADS, parent company of Airbus. And two and a half years after the first delivery of the superjumbo to Singapore Airlines, the launch company.In recent weeks, "there's better on the forehead in the euro-dollar, even though its effect will be read in the accounts in the medium term, there is better on a better control programs, production rates will increase (for the A320 and A380, Ed), thereby supporting the generation of cash. The giant command adds a bit more "positive" about the title, "Yan Derocles development, aerospace analyst with Oddo who recently moved to purchase the title.

Price increase expected

Airbus, which had produced and delivered ten A380 aircraft in 2009 (and thirty since October 2007) will double the pace this year. "We have good visibility and for the first time in the first quarter, the program has been consistent with expected costs," said Louis yesterday Welsh, president of EADS.Costs too high, since this year, Boeing will lose money on each aircraft produced no fax pay day loans. But Thomas Enders, the Airbus chief, said that "from 2012, we should begin to win," so that the A380 will contribute fully to the operating result (ebit) of Airbus from 2014 . This, taking as a basis for calculating a euro-dollar parity of 1.30. The evolution of the two currencies in the medium term will be crucial.

In terms of business strategy, Airbus is also a turning point. It should trigger a second wave of orders in conquering new customers.The contract giant Emirates is great, but it comes from a company already convinced by the A380 and Airbus has always maintained in good and bad times.

This contract allows, however, John Leahy, marketing director, put pressure on companies that are slow to make the leap. The delivery of the A380 are now virtually come to an end until 2017. If a company wants the A380, it would have incentives not to expect too much as far as prices go up. But, argues Airbus A380 will be a must. The device has proven its economic and ecological efficiency, as evidenced by the feedback of its first customers. Airbus forecasts a market of 1,500 aircraft by 2030 for very large aircraft. Without rival, the A380 should prevail on this market and be a cash machine on the exceptional duration of the program, or forty years.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which was Friday questioned the investment bank Goldman Sachs in a fraud case, is interested in other institutions that might have misled their investors about the nature of certain loans, according The Wall Street Journal. Several banks have had the same path as Goldman Sachs, creating financial products that allow for strategic customers such as hedge funds bet on the collapse of property prices at the same time where others were betting on further increases.The Deutsche Bank, UBS, Merrill Lynch or today came under the leadership of Bank of America, and could also interest Constable of U.S. financial markets, according to information from the Wall Street Journal.

For its part, the New York Times estimated that the case Goldman Sachs also shows the great return of the SEC at the front of the stage, while the institution had remained in the shadows in recent years.

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