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Closing reassuring Wall Street yesterday gave a positive impetus for the Paris Stock Exchange on Tuesday, which has increased its earnings to grow by 1.57% enséance before reducing them after a disappointing statistic across the Atlantic on the U.S. consumer confidence in July.

At the final bell, the CAC 40 is 0.83% at 3666.4 points and preserves the points.Un 3660 this threshold had not been touched since June 22 last. Elsewhere in Europe, the London Stock Exchange closed up 0.27% to 5365.67 points.

French markets were again worn by banking shares. Yesterday, the shares had already boosted the index, in response to the publication of results of stress tests on Friday.On Tuesday, they went into high gear, including Societe Generale climbed 10.59% to 44.22 euros, Credit Agricole, which has soared 10.14% to 10.62 euros and Dexia, which has rose 7.32% to 3.87 euros. Axa and BNP Paribas follow with respective increases of 6.74% and 5.49%.

After trading, the markets will see the unemployment figures for the month of June in France.

In addition, the Department of Ecology has announced that the number of starts of new homes in France fell 0.3% for the period April-May to June, compared to the same period a year ago, while the number of building permits recorded an increase of 25%.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro continues against the greenback.Around 17:30, the euro was trading at just below $ 1.30, but the threshold has been crossed earlier in session.

The U.S. housing close look

Yesterday the key index in Paris managed to keep the threshold of 3600 points despite an early meeting very hesitant. Good numbers of U.S. homes have played an especially comforting to investors. And on Tuesday, rebelote: the Case-Shiller index of home prices meets the individual operators offering. It rose more than expected in May in the United States, +0.5%. The month of May and is the second consecutive monthly increase, a trend that comes after two months of consecutive decline.

But the Conference Board index, published in 16 hours, fell for the second straight month in July, falling to a lowest level since February, to 50.4 in July against 54.3 (revised from 52.9) in JuneAn advertisement that has a little cooled investors.

Publication Burst

On Tuesday, the publications will be honored at the Paris Bourse:

Danone (-4.24% to 44.35 euros) announced before market opening a current net profit in the second quarter of 848 million euros and a turnover of 4.386 billion euros in bad credit payday loans.

Altran (7.79% to 3.25 euros) has reported a turnover of the second quarter 2010 from 357.6 million euros (+2.3%). The group expects a significant improvement in the margin in the second half of 2010.

The Land of the Regions (-0.12% to 72.85 euros) published a recurring net profit increased 1.1% to 153.4 million for its first half, with rents of 264.1 million , up 1.7% at constant scope, and an occupancy rate of 94.4%.However, its net asset value, excluding financial instruments, stood at 73.20 euros per share, down from late 2009 due to the distribution of a special dividend for 2009, consisting of 3 30 euros in cash and six Beni Stabili shares, 52.5% owned subsidiary acquired in 2007

Note that M6 and LVMH will unveil their first-half results after market close. Vinci, Compagnie des Alpes and Fleury Michon publish their turnover for the period also after 17:30.At the same time, Air France KLM (+0.69%) will release first quarter results are.

Sanofi repulsed Klepierre sanctioned

The U.S. biotechnology company Genzyme has rejected a buyout proposal made by Sanofi Aventis (-0.94% to 45.15 euros) according to Bloomberg.

Capgemini (-1.1% to 34.98 euros) has announced the signing of a 6-year contract between its subsidiary Capgemini UK and Royal Mail Group Limited (RMG), the British postal service, for its service management computer.

Klepierre (-2.61% to 25.17 euros), revised down slightly its 2010 targets of recurring cash flow and rents, the prospect of austerity plans in Europe have slowed the recovery of consumption.

Icade (+1.05% at 73.83 euros) on Monday announced a net profit in the first half more than eight times while its net current cash flow per share, affected by the low profitability of its development division, declined 21%.

April Group (-2.88% to 19.76 euros), saw the decline in sales accelerated to 12.9% in the first half. This is explained by the group with a focus on its brokerage business, which should result in a decrease of 25% of the insurance business in 2010.

Finally, Technicolor (10.81% to 0.41 euros), has received a firm offer from the private equity fund Francisco Partners for the acquisition of the "professional broadcast" of Grass Valley.

While the debate between plans and rigor stimulus facilitated the markets in recent weeks, the attention of analysts and investors will again be focused on the financial performance of companies from Monday. Indeed, the U.S. giant Alcoa aluminum ball will open the second quarter of publications in the U.S., after market.

If analysts have recently lowered their forecasts for the group in front of the lower aluminum prices, Alcoa will announce earnings for the second quarter, against a loss last year. The title Alcoa ended Friday at 10.94 dollars, up 2.05%. The volley of U.S. results will continue this week with the technology companies Google, Advanced Micro Devices or Intel, and banks JPMorgan and Bank of America. Citigroup and General Electric will unveil their findings Friday.

Renewed investor confidence

Pending these publications, it is time for optimism in the U.S.. The Dow Jones closed up about 0.57% Friday at 10,197.19 points while the Nasdaq advanced 0.97% to 2196.45 points. Among the good news that restored investor confidence late last week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its forecast for global growth for 2010 at 4.6% against 4.2% estimated in April.

Analysts polled by Reuters predict the results of the groups listed on the S & P 500 will emerge up 27% for the second quarter, more than the 22% increase posted during the first three months of the year. "We are seeing one of the occasions of the highest profits in history," said David S.Bianco, chief strategist for the United States at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, interviewed by The New York Times. According to him, he must go back to the Great Depression of the 30s to see such a rebound.

Markets should also respond well to the results to be published in Europe, where the decline of the euro against the dollar is favorable to businesses. "Like the U.S., figures released by the European companies will be rather positive," said Vincent Treulet, head of investment strategy at BNP Paribas AM. "The second quarter was dynamic on both sides of the Atlantic, compared to the second quarter of 2009." Figures released this week will quantify this improved profitability. And reassure the markets, accordingly.

The speeches of leaders scrutinized

In this context, however, uncertainty haunts the minds of economists. The expected rebound in profits he heralding an improvement on the employment front, at a time when companies continue to cut costs to improve their productivity? "We can expect that the outlook announced by the companies are more optimistic that the sentiments expressed by employees and households," said David S. Bianco.

Beyond the quantitative assessments of companies, are the speeches of leaders who will focus the attention of investors and dictate the trend on stock markets. And this, in the U.S. and Europe. Some experts expect however that these comments remain rather vague. Companies may place more emphasis on the lack of visibility."It could indeed disappoint the markets in the medium to long term," according to Vincent Treulet.

Analysts too optimistic?

Especially as the expert anticipates a slowdown in growth for the second half of 2010. In addition, many operators believe that analysts, encouraged by the good figures for the first quarter of 2010, advance estimates too high for 2011. "The consensus view that corporate profits would exceed the peak reached in 2007, which seems overly optimistic," says the strategist at BNP Paribas AM.

Businesses now report what scenario they anticipate. In France, the dance of publications of the second quarter and first half will open July 22, with STMicroelectronics. Some companies, however, reveal their sales figures this week, including L'Oreal on Monday after the close of trading Thursday and Carrefour.

Great absent G20 Toronto, the issue of tax havens coming back in the headlines the case Bettencourt. The conversations between plays Liliane Bettencourt and Patrice de Maistre, the man who manages his vast fortune, revealed the existence of undeclared accounts in Switzerland for a total of some 80 million euros and a small private island lost in the Indian Ocean, estimated between 300 and 500 million euros. A "case study" that illustrates the mechanisms and the persistence of tax evasion.

Despite the political will displayed at the G20 in London in April 2009, chief among which those of Paris, Berlin and Washington, hunting bank secrecy small steps.Like it or not the president, Nicolas Sarkozy, who said: "Tax havens, it's over." Certainly, under pressure from the G20, the major financial markets have taken one at a time with the standards of exchange information of the OECD, the risk of being pinned on a blacklist. What this implies for the treasury of the countries referred to respond to requests for information in cases of suspected tax evasion proved.

Hunting opacity

Since then, over 400 bilateral agreements were signed, including between France and Switzerland. The text was adopted on June 18 last, by the Swiss Parliament since Tuesday and is registered in the Official Journal of Switzerland. The entry into force can not be done until after the legal deadline is October 7, allowed the organization of a referendum. French side, the agreement is still not included in the agenda of the Assembly."Will stay then test its effectiveness, said Jean Merckaert, specialist tax fraud CCFD, a development NGO. These past months have shown, lists stolen (HSBC France, UBS in the United States), which allowed the transfer of thousands of names, are more effective than the exchange of information through the conventions. "

General Delegate to the fight against uncooperative jurisdictions, François d'Aubert acknowledged the imperfection of the system, where you just twelve agreements out of the list, which is more that can be signed with other tax havens. "We need the tax administrations of each country can have access to bank accounts, accounting firms and identify the beneficiaries of a trust," he said recently. Like the little corner of paradise in the Seychelles, hidden behind a foundation, the opacity remains the bete noire of the treasury.

The euro rose again on Monday morning against the dollar. It rated 10 hours to 1.2430 dollars, after touching 1.2460, an increase of 4.6% since it started bouncing on June 7 last, when the exchange rate euro / dollar rate was 1.19. A fast pace for the foreign exchange market.

China, usually accused by Western countries to maintain the exchange rate of its currency artificially low, just a surprise. A week before the G20 summit, the Chinese central bank announced the end of two years of indexing the yuan to the dollar. The aim is to gradually revalue its currency in order to regulate the Chinese economy, which is based on thirty years export.

To believe in technical analysis, "a great potential rebound comes." The first significant resistance (level on which the exchange rate risk of stumbling) is 1.27.Above, the parity would take the lead of 1.33. The trend is now positive short-term above 1.19.

Why such an increase?

The reason for this rebound is mainly technical: the euro has fallen too quickly in recent weeks, the currency had to breathe. Indeed, on 1 January, the euro was trading at $ 1.44, and in December 2009, it was worth even $ 1.51. In other words, between the highest and the lowest point reached in early June to 1.19, the euro has fallen more than 21%!

Other mechanical reason of the rise of the euro: the decline of the dollar which causes the exchange rate euro / dollar rising payday loan. But the greenback fell amid indices acclaimed. "Historically, there has always been an inverse relationship between the U.S. equity market and the greenback," said the chief executive of Saxo Bank, Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier.

And since the announcement of China, which paves the way for a separation of the link between the yuan and the dollar, the yuan prances its highest levels since July 2005. The renminbi, another name for the Chinese currency, reported a record on the interbank market at 6.8089 against the dollar. Faced with the rise of the yuan, the dollar fell back automatically.

The trend remains bearish background

In the medium term, despite five times the highest drop since last December, the trend is still fragile.Even if the single currency does not seem too responsive to European concerns on the health of public finances of countries – including Spain rumors, denied – the macroeconomic situation on the continent remains sluggish, between sluggish growth and unemployment Box, accompanied by rigid budgetary policies.

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Two years after being sold by HSBC Group Banque Populaire, Société Marseillaise de Credit (SMC) might again change hands. The daily La Tribune, the CMS would be on the verge of being sold to Societe Generale.

Considered the nugget of all seven regional banks from HSBC France sold to the Banque Populaire Group in July 2008 – SMC was valued 1.1 billion euros over the 2.1 billion that the transaction cost – it should join the network of Crédit du Nord, a 100% subsidiary of Societe Generale, which already includes seven regional banks, the newspaper said without citing its sources.

The recovery of the MSC requested Rothschild neared 650 million, adds the site of La Tribune, reporting that it was 1.1 billion euros at the time of its acquisition.

Meanwhile, SMC, maintained by Live Banques Populaires, had been transferred to 880 million euros to all BPCE at its incorporation in August 2009, said the Tribune.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has revised upwards on Thursday the euro zone growth for 2010, but reduced its estimates for 2011. This year, says the guardian of the euro, growth should be between 0.7% and 1.3%, against 0.4% and 1.2% previously. Exports should benefit the business area, "said ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet.

In contrast, growth should be adversely affected by weaker domestic demand in 2011 than originally planned. The ECB now expects growth understood in a very wide range from 0.2% to 2.2%, against 0.5% to 2.5% previously estimated. Probably the negative effect of harsh announced plans in recent days, including Germany and Spain.In this context, inflation is likely to remain "moderate", said Jean-Claude Trichet.

"We believe that the euro zone economy would grow at a moderate pace in an environment (…) unusually high uncertainty", said Jean-Claude Trichet. "The uncertainty and the level of growth is not writing, it also depends on us", European institutions and governments, stressed the central banker faxless pay day loans. The ECB "endeavors to be an anchor, an island of confidence."

The euro, "very credible"

The ECB president also did not comment on the fall of the euro seen in recent weeks. The single currency, he hammered a currency is "very credible".He did not give further details regarding the buyback of government bonds in place last May in order to guarantee liquidity in a market completely frozen. The ECB has bought for 16.5 billion euros of bonds the first week, 10 billion for the second week, then 5.5 billion for the third, said only Jean-Claude Trichet.

The ECB president was pressed with questions about this decision heterodox. Done rare, Axel Weber, the German member of the Governing Council of the ECB, it is even publicly opposed. Jean-Claude Trichet reiterated that there was "a currency, a central bank, a board of governors," and therefore "a decision and an explanation for this decision" .

A wedding in pain. Negotiated for eleven months, the acquisition by the cooperative group Sodiaal Entremont Thursday overcame obstacles essential to its realization. The government, very involved through the Ministry of Agriculture and the Interministerial Committee for Industrial Restructuring (Ciri) has obtained the agreement of both creditors Entremont Alliance and its current owner Unifem instant payday loan. A company behind which is associated with the NPC holding the Belgian investor Albert Frere-and majority-group Unicopa.

Should win earlier this week, losing on Friday night. Having won respectively 23.89%, 18.65% and 20.90% on Monday, following the European Agreement on plan to help the euro area, the three biggest French banks were closed on of declines: Societe Generale, -8.63%, Credit Agricole, -6.43%, BNP Paribas, -7.41% … French banks weigh heavily on the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 has closed Friday on a depressing note: at the close of the Paris Stock Exchange index lost 4.59% and Paris has fallen below the 3600 points to 3560 points.

His European counterparts also suffer, while banking stocks enroll the largest declines, everywhere.

This reflects the renewed concern about the economic health in Europe, barely a week after the European plan negotiated the titanic last weekend.Further evidence of the uncertainty room, the euro broke the 1.25 dollar, which had not happened for 14 months. Gold coast near 1,240 dollars per ounce. Unheard-of. And oil is under $ 74 a barrel.

Banks underperforming in Europe

In Italy, while the FTSE-Eb hollow losses and was down 5.26%, many bank stocks are at the bottom of the list: in order, Mediobanca, 4.50% to 6.15 euros Banco Popolare, 6.21% to 4.16 euros, UniCredit, 6.27% to 1.81 euros and Intesa Sanpaolo, Italy's leading bank, yield 5.11% to 2.18 euros.

In Spain, same old story. The Ibex 35 largest market capitalizations falters 6.64%, and banking sector heavyweights weigh box. Banco Santander, the second largest bank in Europe, falling 9.28% to 8.31 euros.BBVA folds of 7.58 euros to 8.78% and 6.46% of Bankinter at 4.7 euros.

The Dax in Frankfurt – the index of 30 companies the biggest German stock exchange down 3.12%. But again, it is Deutsche Bank, which is at the bottom, falling 4.15% to 48.75 euros. The boss, Josef Ackermann, questioned the ability of Greece to repay its debt. And Commerzbank sells 4.13% to 6.10 euros.

In Belgium, KBC retrograde 5.48% to 30.85 euros and Dexia 5.63% to 3.6 euros in a market down by 3.46% for the Bel 20. And in Switzerland, UBS depreciates 2.83% to 0.10 euros and the financial group CS Group lost 4.08% to 33.23 euros.

The bank still frontline

Fears of a state unable to feed its fiscal risk of lowering its rating by a rating agency.But what are the financial institutions in a country with the largest of government securities in the portfolio.

Generally, capital financial institutions required to hold an asset also depends on the "rating" (the note) of the issuer of this title. If it deteriorates, the capital required to hold a state title will be more important.

As banks are exposed to Treasury securities, profitability and solvency is lowered … hence the fall in stock.

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With sales were down 16% to 1.32 billion euros, an EBIT of 139.2 million (-9.6%) and a net profit of 95.9 million euros ( -3.2%), the first quarter of Technip is declining, but these figures are higher than analysts' expectations.

Despite competition "intense in all regions," Thierry Pilenko, CEO of the company has entered the CAC40 almost a year ago, noted "signs of recovery."

The evidence, the backlog has reached the end of March 2010, 8.13 billion euros, compared to 8.02 billion euros at end December 2009 and 6.93 billion euros at end-March 2009."Estimates of the group, envrion 47% of the backlog should take the next nine months of 2010."

In addition, the giant engineering and construction sector of the black gold is pleased to have recorded a total of 1.34 billion euros in new orders in the first quarter of 2010, against 1.15 billion euros a year ago.

Annual target unchanged

Thus, the direction of the oil services specialist confirmed Thursday morning his goals for the current year.Annual revenues are expected in a band between 5.9 and 6.1 billion euros (between -5.5% and -9.5% in one year) and operating margin is still seen stable.

Remember however that annual sales had been revised downward in February, while Technip had published annual results in freefall – net income fell 62% year on year – and the speech concerning the outlook remains worrying .

A contract "major" in Brazil

Yesterday, Wednesday, Technip said it had won a contract by Petrobras for the flexible pipe system driver Tupi field. He refers to the agreement a "major", with "key challenges" at the technical level.This field is situated at 2,200 meters depth of water in reservoirs pr?salif?res Santos Basin, about 300 km off the Brazilian coast.

The transaction amount was not specified. But with this new contract, Technip strengthens its leading position in Brazil, especially in the promising market tanks pr?salif?res.

In Stock

In just two sessions, the Technip shares have lost nearly 8%. Wednesday night, they quoted at under 60 euros to 58.27 euros exactly.

On Thursday morning, the shares resumed colors: they rise from 1.22% to 59.08 euros by 9:30. This is the second best performance of the benchmark index of the Paris market.

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The National Assembly must decide on Tuesday on the bill to regulate the consumer credit. The text, which has already been approved by the Senate must pass the difficult balance between maintaining economic activity supported in part by the credit and the necessary protection of indebted households.

The number of cases filed with the commission of indebtedness that is constantly increasing. A phenomenon considered especially worrisome by the Bank of France that the population affected by the debt overhang is not the same. When creating the indebtedness committee with the law Neiertz 1989, he was helping people who had not managed their budgets: the syndrome of fever buyer where people were abusing the loan to purchase a 4X4 or high-tech products.But since the late 1990s, a new category of people are facing the problem of indebtedness, with the emergence of "new poor", that is to say who, though having a job, fail longer pay the bills of electricity or gas. And the crisis has accentuated the trend by multiplying the number of "accidents of life, including the number of households affected by unemployment cash advance. Since 2008, the Bank of France notes an increase in cases of indebtedness of approximately 16% per year.

The latest statistics released by the agency confirm this movement. 19,380 cases have been filed with the commission in February 2010. 20.5% higher than the previous month.

The Bank, however states that one should not jump to conclusions, due to some seasonality.The first months of the year are in fact traditionally the stigma of Christmas. A phenomenon in which the new text may perhaps act. It provides for a doubling of the period of withdrawal of clients (14 days instead of 7), the obligation of loyalty card stores offered an option "cash" or a limitation of revolving credit and advertising. The banks and specialized agencies should then put more emphasis on the commitment that is a credit on the ease of obtaining money.